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Etzella Ettelbruck v F91 Dudelange

Etzella Ettelbruck

1–3Full time

F91 Dudelange

National Division · SUN 11 OCT · Stade Am Deich

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Etzella Ettelbruck 1–3 F91 Dudelange F91 DUDELANGE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said F91 Dudelange win~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.235

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 30 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said F91 Dudelange win at 60%.
3′Much as we predicted: F91 Dudelange was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 18–21–60
6′Much as we predicted: F91 Dudelange was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 19–22–60
20′A goal for Etzella Ettelbruck on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 44–26–30
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 60% now
21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' F91 Dudelange win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Etzella Ettelbruck win 19%)
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Etzella Ettelbruck win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was F91 Dudelange win 30%)
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 60% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' F91 Dudelange win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Etzella Ettelbruck win 19%)
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Etzella Ettelbruck win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was F91 Dudelange win 30%)
23′G. Hemkemeier scores for Etzella Ettelbruck on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 45–26–29
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 60% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' F91 Dudelange win is now our likeliest result at 60% (was Etzella Ettelbruck win 19%)
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Etzella Ettelbruck win is now our likeliest result at 44% (was F91 Dudelange win 30%)
30′⚽ GOAL · 29' Etzella Ettelbruck 1–1 F91 Dudelange
38′29′ and it is 1–1: B. Muratovic on the scoresheet for F91 Dudelange. 1–1 · 19–31–50
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' F91 Dudelange win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Etzella Ettelbruck win 19%)
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 29% now
38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Etzella Ettelbruck win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was F91 Dudelange win 29%)
39′29′ and it is 1–1: B. Muratovic on the scoresheet for F91 Dudelange. 1–1 · 19–31–50
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' F91 Dudelange win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Etzella Ettelbruck win 19%)
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 29% now
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Etzella Ettelbruck win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was F91 Dudelange win 29%)
45′HALF-TIME Etzella Ettelbruck 1–1 F91 Dudelange
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' F91 Dudelange win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
45′⚽ GOAL · 15' Etzella Ettelbruck 1–1 F91 Dudelange · G. Hemkemeier (assist K. Gulluni)
45′⚽ GOAL · 29' Etzella Ettelbruck 1–1 F91 Dudelange · B. Muratovic (assist I. Englaro)
46′SECOND HALF Etzella Ettelbruck 1–1 F91 Dudelange
62′⚽ GOAL · 62' Etzella Ettelbruck 1–2 F91 Dudelange
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Etzella Ettelbruck 1–3 F91 Dudelange
85′PENALTY MISSED · 84' Etzella Ettelbruck
FTFULL TIME Etzella Ettelbruck 1–3 F91 Dudelange
FTEtzella Ettelbruck 1–3 F91 Dudelange · F91 Dudelange win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Etzella Ettelbruck win19%

Draw20%

F91 Dudelange win60%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

VenueStade Am Deich

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Etzella Ettelbruck

F91 Dudelange

25Days since last match25

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	F91 Dudelange	8	−7	7
14	Etzella Ettelbruck	8	−9	5

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · f91 dudelange winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

60% The market–

Us60%

We make F91 Dudelange a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.1, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Etzella Ettelbruck win	19%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
F91 Dudelange win	60%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Etzella Ettelbruck or draw	40%	–	–
Etzella Ettelbruck clean sheet	14%	–	–
F91 Dudelange clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.7 9.6 9.4 6.5 3.5 1 5.0 9.2 9.3 6.4 3.4 2 2.6 5.0 4.9 3.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Etzella Ettelbruck down, F91 Dudelange across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,272 National Division matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

National Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.2% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 5.50 goals a meeting; 4 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Etzella Ettelbruck at home: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). F91 Dudelange away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.05 goals for Etzella Ettelbruck, 2.07 for F91 Dudelange. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~5.50

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ETZ 2–5 FDU · FDU 4–0 ETZ · ETZ 0–4 FDU · FDU 6–1 ETZ

Form · last six in National Division

ETZELLA ETTELBRUCK

LLLWLD1–5 · 0–1 · 0–5 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

F91 DUDELANGE

LWWLDL0–1 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 0–0 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	UNA Strassen	8	+15	24
2	FC Differdange 03	8	+14	21
3	US Mondorf-les-bains	8	+5	18
4	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	8	+13	17
5	Progres Niederkorn	8	+8	16
6	UN Kaerjeng 97	8	+8	15
7	Atert Bissen	8	+7	15
8	Résidence Walferdange	8	+6	15
9	US Hostert	8	+3	11
10	AS Jeunesse Esch	8	−3	7
11	F91 Dudelange	8	−7	7
12	US Rumelange	8	−15	6
13	Victoria Rosport	8	−9	5
14	Etzella Ettelbruck	8	−9	5
15	Wiltz	8	−8	4
16	Swift Hesperange	8	−28	0