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Atert Bissen v US Hostert
Atert BissenUS HostertNational Division · SUN 18 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Atert Bissen win at 73%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Atert Bissen 73% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 73–15–12
- 1′KICK-OFF Atert Bissen v US Hostert
- 25′Atert Bissen score on 25′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–10–4
- 25′We said Atert Bissen at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–10–4
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Atert Bissen 1–0 US Hostert
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Atert Bissen win: 73% at kick-off, 86% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 1–0 · 86–10–4
- 42′Atert Bissen find the net on 41′. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–1
- 42′We said Atert Bissen at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–0 · 97–3–1
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Atert Bissen 2–0 US Hostert
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Atert Bissen win: 73% at kick-off, 97% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Atert Bissen 2–0 US Hostert
- 46′SECOND HALF Atert Bissen 2–0 US Hostert
- 47′A goal for Atert Bissen on 46′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 47′We said Atert Bissen at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Atert Bissen 3–0 US Hostert
- 51′Atert Bissen find the net on 51′. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 51′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Atert Bissen 4–0 US Hostert
- 58′US Hostert find the net on 58′. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 58′5 goals already, more than the 3.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Atert Bissen 4–1 US Hostert
- 91′A goal for Atert Bissen on 90′ — 5–1. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Atert Bissen 5–1 US Hostert
- 92′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 5–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Atert Bissen 5–1 US Hostert
- FTAtert Bissen 5–1 US Hostert · Atert Bissen win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Atert Bissen are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Atert Bissen 73%, draw 15%, US Hostert 12%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Atert Bissen win73%US Hostert win12%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00
RoundMatchday 10
Match timeline
All events
Atert BissenMINUS HostertEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Atert Bissen
US Hostert
Last match: 11 Oct · National Division
Last match: 11 Oct · National Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atert Bissen | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 9 | US Hostert | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Atert Bissen a 73% chance to win. The market has them at 63%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.8–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 63% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atert Bissen win | 73% | 63% | +10 |
| Draw | 15% | 21% | −6 |
| US Hostert win | 12% | 16% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 62% | +10 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 58% | +2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 81% | +8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 52% | 42% | +10 |
| Atert Bissen or draw | 88% | 84% | +4 |
| Atert Bissen clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| US Hostert clean sheet | 7% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2024/25Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in National Division this season · since 23 Aug
ATERT BISSEN
US HOSTERT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UNA Strassen | 9 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  FC Differdange 03 | 9 | +20 | 24 |
| 3 |  UN Kaerjeng 97 | 10 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  US Mondorf-les-bains | 9 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Progres Niederkorn | 10 | +9 | 19 |
| 6 |  Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 9 | +13 | 18 |
| 7 | Atert Bissen | 9 | +7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Résidence Walferdange | 9 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | US Hostert | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |  F91 Dudelange | 9 | −5 | 10 |
| 11 |  Victoria Rosport | 9 | −6 | 8 |
| 12 |  AS Jeunesse Esch | 9 | −6 | 7 |
| 13 |  US Rumelange | 9 | −16 | 6 |
| 14 |  Etzella Ettelbruck | 9 | −11 | 5 |
| 15 |  Wiltz | 9 | −10 | 4 |
| 16 |  Swift Hesperange | 9 | −31 | – |
The competition's standings before kick-off.