Atert Bissen v Etzella Ettelbruck prediction · National Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Atert BissenDrawEtzella Ettelbruck

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Atert Bissen 78%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Atert Bissen are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Atert Bissen 78%, draw 13%, Etzella Ettelbruck 9%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Atert Bissen v Etzella EttelbruckBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Atert Bissen win78%

Draw13%

Etzella Ettelbruck win9%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atert Bissen

Etzella Ettelbruck

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · National Division

Last match: 24 Oct · National Division

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Atert Bissen	10	+11	19
13	Etzella Ettelbruck	11	−10	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · atert bissen winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

78% The market–

Us78%

We make Atert Bissen a 78% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Atert Bissen v Etzella Ettelbruck~~2.91 – 0.80

~~Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 19 v 8~~6 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Atert Bissen win	78%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Etzella Ettelbruck win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Atert Bissen or draw	91%	–	–
Atert Bissen clean sheet	46%	–	–
Etzella Ettelbruck clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.2%

0123450 2.8 2.4 1 7.7 5.9 2.5 2 10.2 8.0 3.3 3 9.5 7.3 3.0 4 6.9 5.2 2.1 5 4.2 3.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Atert Bissen down, Etzella Ettelbruck across0–5 goals a side shown (91.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,289 National Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 81 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2024/25.

Home and away form

Atert Bissen at home: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Etzella Ettelbruck away: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.91 goals for Atert Bissen, 0.80 for Etzella Ettelbruck. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National Division this season · since 30 Aug

ATERT BISSEN

LLWWDW1–2 · 1–2 · 6–0 · 4–2 · 2–2 · 5–1

ETZELLA ETTELBRUCK

WLDLLW3–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	UNA Strassen	10	+17	28
2	FC Differdange 03	10	+22	27
3	US Mondorf-les-bains	10	+9	24
4	UN Kaerjeng 97	10	+12	21
5	Racing FC Union Luxembourg	10	+13	19
6	Atert Bissen	10	+11	19
7	Progres Niederkorn	11	+7	19
8	Résidence Walferdange	10	0	16
9	F91 Dudelange	10	0	13
10	US Hostert	10	−3	11
11	AS Jeunesse Esch	10	−5	10
12	Victoria Rosport	10	−8	8
13	Etzella Ettelbruck	11	−10	8
14	US Rumelange	10	−16	7
15	Wiltz	10	−13	4
16	Swift Hesperange	10	−36	–