Žalgiris II v Atmosfera

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Žalgiris II win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Žalgiris II was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–22–36
3. 1′KICK-OFF Žalgiris II v Atmosfera
4. 43′Žalgiris II find the net on 42′. 1–0. 1–0 · 70–21–9
5. 43′We published Žalgiris II at 42%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
6. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Žalgiris II 1–0 Atmosfera
7. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, 70% now
8. 45′HALF-TIME Žalgiris II 1–0 Atmosfera
9. 46′SECOND HALF Žalgiris II 1–0 Atmosfera
10. 49′A goal for Atmosfera on 48′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–39–28
11. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Žalgiris II 1–1 Atmosfera
12. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
13. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Žalgiris II win 32%)
14. 51′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 1–1 · 32–41–28
15. 52′Atmosfera score on 51′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–23–69
16. 52′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–69
17. 52′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 9–23–69
18. 52′⚽ GOAL · 51' Žalgiris II 1–2 Atmosfera
19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, 9% now
20. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Atmosfera win is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Draw 23%)
21. 58′Žalgiris II find the net on 57′. 2–2. 2–2 · 29–46–26
22. 58′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–46–26
23. 58′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 29–46–26
24. 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Žalgiris II 2–2 Atmosfera
25. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, 29% now
26. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Atmosfera win 26%)
27. 67′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–55–21
28. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
29. 74′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–64–17
30. 79′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–13
31. 81′Žalgiris II find the net on 57′. 2–2. 2–2 · 12–77–11
32. 81′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 2–2 · 12–77–11
33. 81′4 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 12–77–11
34. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
35. 84′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–83–8
36. 87′A goal for Atmosfera on 86′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 0–7–93
37. 87′⚽ GOAL · 86' Žalgiris II 2–3 Atmosfera
38. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Žalgiris II win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
39. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Atmosfera win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 7%)
40. 88′We said Žalgiris II at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 2–3 · 0–6–94
41. 88′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–6–94
42. FTFULL TIME Žalgiris II 2–3 Atmosfera
43. FTŽalgiris II 2–3 Atmosfera · Žalgiris II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.