Jonava v BFA

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said BFA win at 42%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: BFA was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 41% now. 0–0 · 32–28–41
3. 1′KICK-OFF Jonava v BFA
4. 9′Jonava score on 8′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 61–23–17
5. 9′We said BFA at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–0 · 61–23–17
6. 9′⚽ GOAL · 8' Jonava 1–0 BFA
7. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 9' BFA win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
8. 9′THE CALL SWINGS · 9' Jonava win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was BFA win 17%)
9. 10′Jonava find the net on 10′. 2–0. 2–0 · 84–11–5
10. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Jonava 2–0 BFA
11. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 10' BFA win: 42% at kick-off, 5% now
12. 11′We said BFA at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 2–0 · 84–11–5
13. 17′We said BFA at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–0 · 85–11–4
14. 21′A goal for Jonava on 21′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 96–3–1
15. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Jonava 3–0 BFA
16. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' BFA win: 42% at kick-off, 1% now
17. 30′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 97–2–1
18. 45′HALF-TIME Jonava 3–0 BFA
19. 46′SECOND HALF Jonava 3–0 BFA
20. FTFULL TIME Jonava 3–0 BFA
21. FTJonava 3–0 BFA · BFA win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.