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BFA v Žalgiris II
1 Lyga · FRI 9 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said BFA win at 46%.
- 11′1′ and it is 1–0: BFA have scored. 1–0 · 69–18–13
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' BFA win: 46% at kick-off, 69% now
- 17′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
- 18′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–19–12
- 19′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
- 20′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
- 21′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–12
- 22′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–11
- 23′We published BFA at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–19–11
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 1' BFA 1–0 Žalgiris II
- 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' BFA 1–1 Žalgiris II
- 45′HALF-TIME BFA 1–1 Žalgiris II
- 46′SECOND HALF BFA 1–1 Žalgiris II
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' BFA 1–2 Žalgiris II
- FTBFA 1–2 Žalgiris II · BFA win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 18:15
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make BFA a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.4.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 52% to 50% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| BFA win | 46% | 50% | −4 |
| Draw | 21% | 25% | −4 |
| Žalgiris II win | 33% | 25% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 58% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 38% | −2 |
| BFA or draw | 67% | 75% | −8 |
| BFA clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Žalgiris II clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Form · last six in 1 Lyga
BFA
ŽALGIRIS II
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | +55 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 25 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 24 | +18 | 50 |
| 4 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 25 | +3 | 44 |
| 5 | Tauras | 25 | +12 | 43 |
| 6 | Žalgiris II | 25 | +6 | 43 |
| 7 | BFA | 25 | +4 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava | 25 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 24 | +4 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | −5 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 25 | −2 | 25 |
| 12 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 25 | −20 | 22 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 25 | −26 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | −29 | 21 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 25 | −29 | 17 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | −33 | 14 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.