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Babrungas v Jonava
1 Lyga · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Babrungas win at 62%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Babrungas was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–24–15
- 1′KICK-OFF Babrungas v Jonava
- 42′We said Babrungas at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 47–39–14
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Babrungas win: 62% at kick-off, 47% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 45′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 46′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 47' Babrungas 1–0 Jonava
- 47′A goal for Babrungas on 47′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–2
- 47′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Babrungas win: 62% at kick-off, 86% now
- 48′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 49′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 50′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 51′SECOND HALF Babrungas 0–0 Jonava
- 68′We published Babrungas at 62%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 78' Babrungas 1–0 Jonava
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Babrungas 2–0 Jonava
- 88′78′ and it is 2–0: Babrungas have scored. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Babrungas win: 62% at kick-off, 100% now
- FTFULL TIME Babrungas 2–0 Jonava
- FTBabrungas 2–0 Jonava · Babrungas win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 12:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Babrungas a 62% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.7.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Babrungas win | 62% | 65% | −3 |
| Draw | 22% | 22% | 0 |
| Jonava win | 16% | 13% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 53% | −12 |
| Both teams to score | 38% | 47% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 75% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 32% | −11 |
| Babrungas or draw | 84% | 87% | −3 |
| Babrungas clean sheet | 52% | – | – |
| Jonava clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021Form · last six in 1 Lyga
BABRUNGAS
JONAVA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 25 | +55 | 67 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 25 | +32 | 61 |
| 3 | Be1 NFA | 25 | +18 | 51 |
| 4 | Žalgiris II | 26 | +7 | 46 |
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 25 | +3 | 44 |
| 6 | Tauras | 25 | +12 | 43 |
| 7 | BFA | 26 | +3 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava | 26 | +10 | 41 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 24 | +4 | 30 |
| 10 | Jonava | 25 | −5 | 27 |
| 11 | Garliava | 25 | −2 | 25 |
| 12 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 26 | −20 | 23 |
| 13 | Hegelmann II | 25 | −26 | 22 |
| 14 | Transinvest 2 | 25 | −29 | 21 |
| 15 | FA Šiauliai II | 26 | −29 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 25 | −33 | 14 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Minija
Be1 NFA
Žalgiris II
Neptūną Klaipėda
Tauras
BFA
Dainava
Atmosfera
Garliava
Kauno Žalgiris II
Hegelmann II
Transinvest 2
FA Šiauliai II
Ekranas