Freeport v LISCR prediction · LFA First Division

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 20:00

Freeport 1–0 LISCR LISCR WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said LISCR win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.739

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

LISCR are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Freeport 31%, draw 23%, LISCR 46%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Freeport v LISCRBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off

Freeport win31%

Draw23%

LISCR win46%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Freeport

LISCR

4Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · LFA First Division

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	LISCR	1	+3	3
5	Freeport	1	+2	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · liscr winFirst published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make LISCR a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Freeport v LISCR~~1.48 – 1.85

~~Form · LFA First Division this season · since 18 Oct~~W1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 3~~5 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Freeport win	31%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
LISCR win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Freeport or draw	54%	–	–
Freeport clean sheet	17%	–	–
LISCR clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.3 6.5 6.2 3.8 1 5.2 10.0 8.6 5.3 2.5 2 4.0 7.0 6.2 3.8 3 2.0 3.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Freeport down, LISCR across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,023 LFA First Division matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: LFA First Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Freeport at home: 2.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). LISCR away: 0.83 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Freeport, 1.85 for LISCR. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~LIS 2–1 FRE · FRE 0–1 LIS · FRE 3–1 LIS · LIS 2–1 FRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · LFA First Division this season · since 18 Oct

FREEPORT

W2–0

LISCR

W3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Paynesville	2	+2	4
2	NPA Anchors	2	+1	4
3	LISCR	1	+3	3
4	BEA Mountain	1	+2	3
5	Freeport	1	+2	3
6	Discoveries	1	+1	3
7	Fassell	1	+1	3
8	Gardnersville	1	0	1
9	Watanga	1	0	1
10	Wologizi	1	0	1
11	Borough	1	0	1
12	Heaven Eleven	1	0	1
13	Golden Dream	2	−1	1
14	District 17	1	−1	0
15	Black Man Warrior	1	−2	0
16	LPRC Oilers	1	−2	0
17	Downtown	2	−3	0
18	Shaita	1	−3	0