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Discoveries v Downtown

Discoveries
1–0Full time
Downtown

LFA First Division · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:32
Discoveries 1–0 Downtown DISCOVERIES WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Discoveries win50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.368

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Discoveries are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Discoveries 50%, draw 26%, Downtown 24%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Discoveries v DowntownBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Discoveries win50%
Draw26%
Downtown win24%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Discoveries

Downtown

147Days since last match148

Last match: 24 May · LFA First Division

Last match: 23 May · LFA First Division

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · discoveries winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
50% The market–
Us50%

We make Discoveries a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Discoveries v Downtown1.63 – 1.03

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Discoveries win50%––
Draw26%––
Downtown win24%––
Over 2.5 goals49%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals28%––
Discoveries or draw76%––
Discoveries clean sheet37%––
Downtown clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%
0123450 8.1 7.0 3.8 1 11.1 11.8 5.9 2.1 2 9.1 9.0 4.7 3 5.0 4.9 2.5 4 2.1 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Discoveries down, Downtown across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsDOW 2–1 DIS · DIS 0–1 DOW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · LFA First Division this season

DISCOVERIES

No matches in our record yet.

DOWNTOWN

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Golden Dream101
2Wologizi101

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.