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Model 1.2

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Borough v Heaven Eleven

Borough
1–1Full time
Heaven Eleven

LFA First Division · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 19:31
Borough 1–1 Heaven Eleven HEAVEN ELEVEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Heaven Eleven win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.846

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Heaven Eleven are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Borough 32%, draw 25%, Heaven Eleven 43%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Borough v Heaven ElevenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Borough win32%
Draw25%
Heaven Eleven win43%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Borough

Heaven Eleven

147Days since last match147

Last match: 24 May · LFA First Division

Last match: 24 May · LFA First Division

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · heaven eleven winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Heaven Eleven a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Borough v Heaven Eleven1.34 – 1.58

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Borough win32%––
Draw25%––
Heaven Eleven win43%––
Over 2.5 goals55%––
Both teams to score58%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Borough or draw57%––
Borough clean sheet22%––
Heaven Eleven clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%
0123450 6.4 8.3 6.7 3.6 1 7.0 11.5 8.5 4.5 2 4.9 7.3 5.7 3.0 3 2.3 3.4 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Borough down, Heaven Eleven across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsBOR 2–1 HEA · HEA 2–3 BOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · LFA First Division this season

BOROUGH

No matches in our record yet.

HEAVEN ELEVEN

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Golden Dream101
2Wologizi101

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.