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BEA Mountain v Black Man Warrior

BEA Mountain
2–0Full time
Black Man Warrior

LFA First Division · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 21:31
BEA Mountain 2–0 Black Man Warrior BEA MOUNTAIN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said BEA Mountain win64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.199

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

BEA Mountain are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: BEA Mountain 64%, draw 22%, Black Man Warrior 14%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on BEA Mountain v Black Man WarriorBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

BEA Mountain win64%
Draw22%
Black Man Warrior win14%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

BEA Mountain

Black Man Warrior

147Days since last match152

Last match: 24 May · LFA First Division

Last match: 19 May · LFA First Division

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bea mountain winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
64% The market–
Us64%

We make BEA Mountain a 64% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · BEA Mountain v Black Man Warrior1.94 – 0.75

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
BEA Mountain win64%––
Draw22%––
Black Man Warrior win14%––
Over 2.5 goals50%––
Both teams to score44%––
Over 1.5 goals74%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
BEA Mountain or draw86%––
BEA Mountain clean sheet48%––
Black Man Warrior clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.8%
0123450 7.8 5.0 2.1 1 12.8 10.1 3.8 2 12.3 8.9 3.4 3 8.0 5.7 2.2 4 4.1 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+BEA Mountain down, Black Man Warrior across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25
Goals a meeting3.75
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsBEA 2–0 BLA · BLA 1–1 BEA · BLA 3–3 BEA · BEA 5–0 BLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · LFA First Division this season

BEA MOUNTAIN

No matches in our record yet.

BLACK MAN WARRIOR

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Discoveries1+13
2Golden Dream101
3NPA Anchors101
4Paynesville101
5Wologizi101
6Downtown1−10

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.