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Model 1.1

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SC Villa v LMPS

SC Villa
1–1Full time
LMPS

Premier League · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
SC Villa 1–1 LMPS LMPS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said LMPS win41%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.691

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

SC VillaDrawLMPS
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · SC Villa 1–1 LMPS

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

SC Villa

LMPS

8Days since last match8
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
15SC Villa5−33
16LMPS5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

SC Villa win26%
Draw33%
LMPS win41%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lmps winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
41% The market–
Us41%

We make LMPS a 41% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.1, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
SC Villa win26%––
Draw33%––
LMPS win41%––
Over 2.5 goals31%––
Both teams to score38%––
Over 1.5 goals58%––
Over 3.5 goals14%––
SC Villa or draw59%––
SC Villa clean sheet34%––
LMPS clean sheet45%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.0%
0123450 16.0 14.8 8.8 3.5 1 10.8 13.4 6.9 2.7 2 5.0 5.3 2.9 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+SC Villa down, LMPS across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2022

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Premier League

SC VILLA

LLWLL0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

LMPS

DLLDLL1–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bantu6+1216
2Matlama5+915
3Lioli6+812
4Majantja6+311
5Linare5+410
6Lijabatho4+98
7Manonyane5+36
8LCS506
9Limkokwing University6−26
10LDF5−26
11Members5−45
12Lifofane6−84
13Machokha6−84
14Mzamane6−144
15SC Villa5−33
16LMPS5−71

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 16:22 UTC.