Majantja v Mzamane prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Majantja 4–0 Mzamane MAJANTJA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Majantja win~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.089

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Majantja are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Majantja 76%, draw 17%, Mzamane 7%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 37%.

The AI’s read on Majantja v MzamaneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

Majantja win76%

Draw17%

Mzamane win7%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Majantja

Mzamane

7Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Lesotho)

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Lesotho)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Majantja	7	+4	14
15	Mzamane	7	−16	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · majantja winFirst published 22 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Majantja a 76% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–0.5, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Majantja v Mzamane~~2.38 – 0.54

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 14 v 4~~4 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Majantja win	76%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Mzamane win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	37%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Majantja or draw	93%	–	–
Majantja clean sheet	59%	–	–
Mzamane clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 14.8%

0123450 6.6 2.7 1 12.5 7.6 2.0 2 14.8 7.8 2.2 3 11.5 5.9 4 7.1 3.5 5 3.7

under 2% 5% 12%+Majantja down, Mzamane across0–5 goals a side shown (95.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,016 Premier League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.6% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Majantja at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Mzamane away: 0.33 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Majantja, 0.54 for Mzamane. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~MAJ 2–0 MZA · MZA 0–4 MAJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 29 Aug

MAJANTJA

DWLWDW0–0 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

MZAMANE

WLLLDL1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Matlama	7	+9	18
2	Lijabatho	7	+14	17
3	Bantu	7	+11	16
4	Majantja	7	+4	14
5	Lioli	7	+8	13
6	Linare	7	+3	13
7	LCS	7	+1	10
8	LDF	7	0	10
9	Members	7	−5	8
10	Manonyane	7	+2	7
11	Lifofane	7	−5	7
12	Limkokwing University	7	−3	6
13	SC Villa	7	−6	4
14	Machokha	7	−9	4
15	Mzamane	7	−16	4
16	LMPS	7	−8	2