Majantja v Machokha prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

Majantja 1–0 Machokha MAJANTJA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Majantja win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.232

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Majantja are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Majantja 61%, draw 26%, Machokha 13%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Majantja v MachokhaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 19:01 · locked at kick-off

Majantja win61%

Draw26%

Machokha win13%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Majantja

Machokha

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Lesotho)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Majantja	6	+3	11
14	Machokha	6	−8	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · majantja winFirst published 15 Oct 19:01 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Majantja a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Majantja v Machokha~~1.64 – 0.59

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 23 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 11 v 4~~6 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Majantja win	61%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Machokha win	13%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Majantja or draw	87%	–	–
Majantja clean sheet	56%	–	–
Machokha clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.8%

0123450 12.2 5.7 1 16.8 11.0 3.1 2 14.1 8.1 2.4 3 7.8 4.4 4 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Majantja down, Machokha across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,008 Premier League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 1.75 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Majantja at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Machokha away: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.64 goals for Majantja, 0.59 for Machokha. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~1.75

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~MAC 0–1 MAJ · MAJ 4–1 MAC · MAC 0–1 MAJ · MAJ 0–0 MAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 23 Aug

MAJANTJA

WDWLWD1–0 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 1–0 · 0–0

MACHOKHA

LLLLWD1–2 · 0–1 · 1–3 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bantu	6	+12	16
2	Matlama	6	+7	15
3	Lijabatho	6	+13	14
4	Linare	6	+5	13
5	Lioli	6	+8	12
6	Majantja	6	+3	11
7	LCS	6	0	7
8	LDF	6	−2	7
9	Manonyane	6	+2	6
10	Limkokwing University	6	−2	6
11	Members	6	−6	5
12	SC Villa	6	−3	4
13	Lifofane	6	−8	4
14	Machokha	6	−8	4
15	Mzamane	6	−14	4
16	LMPS	6	−7	2