LMPS v LCS prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42

LMPS 0–1 LCS LCS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said LCS win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.585

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with LCS just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: LMPS 29%, draw 34%, LCS 38%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on LMPS v LCSBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 19:01 · locked at kick-off

LMPS win29%

Draw34%

LCS win38%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

LMPS

LCS

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Lesotho)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	LCS	6	0	7
16	LMPS	6	−7	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lcs winFirst published 15 Oct 19:01 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make LCS a 38% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–1.0, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · LMPS v LCS~~0.86 – 1.04

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 22 Aug~~W0 D2 L4 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 2 v 7~~16 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
LMPS win	29%	–	–
Draw	34%	–	–
LCS win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	57%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
LMPS or draw	62%	–	–
LMPS clean sheet	36%	–	–
LCS clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 16.5%

0123450 16.5 14.4 8.0 2.8 1 11.8 14.0 6.7 2.4 2 5.6 5.6 2.9 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+LMPS down, LCS across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,008 Premier League matches up to 14 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.9% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 1.25 goals a meeting; 1 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

LMPS at home: 0.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). LCS away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.86 goals for LMPS, 1.04 for LCS. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~1.25

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 8

~~Both scored~~2 of 8

~~Last meetings~~LCS 1–0 LMP · LMP 1–2 LCS · LMP 0–1 LCS · LCS 0–1 LMP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 22 Aug

LMPS

LLDLLD1–3 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1

LCS

WLLWLD2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bantu	6	+12	16
2	Matlama	6	+7	15
3	Lijabatho	6	+13	14
4	Linare	6	+5	13
5	Lioli	6	+8	12
6	Majantja	6	+3	11
7	LCS	6	0	7
8	LDF	6	−2	7
9	Manonyane	6	+2	6
10	Limkokwing University	6	−2	6
11	Members	6	−6	5
12	SC Villa	6	−3	4
13	Lifofane	6	−8	4
14	Machokha	6	−8	4
15	Mzamane	6	−14	4
16	LMPS	6	−7	2