Linare v Manonyane prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Linare 1–0 Manonyane LINARE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Linare win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.298

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

LinareDrawManonyane

Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time

Full time · Linare 1–0 Manonyane

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Linare

Manonyane

8Days since last match4

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Linare	5	+4	10
7	Manonyane	5	+3	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Linare win56%

Draw25%

Manonyane win20%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · linare winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Linare a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Linare win	56%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Manonyane win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Linare or draw	80%	–	–
Linare clean sheet	38%	–	–
Manonyane clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 7.4 5.3 3.0 1 10.3 11.5 5.2 2 9.8 9.3 4.6 3 5.9 5.7 2.8 4 2.8 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Linare down, Manonyane across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,003 Premier League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.2% of games this season, across 43 played.

Head to head

8 previous meetings, 1.62 goals a meeting; 2 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Linare at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Manonyane away: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.83 goals for Linare, 0.99 for Manonyane. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~1.62

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 8

~~Both scored~~1 of 8

~~Last meetings~~MAN 0–1 LIN · LIN 2–1 MAN · MAN 0–4 LIN · LIN 0–1 MAN

Form · last six in Premier League

LINARE

WWLWWD1–0 · 3–1 · 2–3 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 1–1

MANONYANE

LDWDDL0–1 · 3–3 · 4–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bantu	6	+12	16
2	Matlama	5	+9	15
3	Lioli	6	+8	12
4	Majantja	6	+3	11
5	Linare	5	+4	10
6	Lijabatho	4	+9	8
7	Manonyane	5	+3	6
8	LCS	5	0	6
9	Limkokwing University	6	−2	6
10	LDF	5	−2	6
11	Members	5	−4	5
12	Lifofane	6	−8	4
13	Machokha	6	−8	4
14	Mzamane	6	−14	4
15	SC Villa	5	−3	3
16	LMPS	5	−7	1