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Limkokwing University v Matlama

Limkokwing University

1–2Full time

Matlama

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06

Limkokwing University 1–2 Matlama MATLAMA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Matlama win~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.196

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Limkokwing University win13%

Draw23%

Matlama win64%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · matlama winPublished 10 Oct 15:43

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Matlama a 64% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.9, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Limkokwing University win	13%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Matlama win	64%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Limkokwing University or draw	36%	–	–
Limkokwing University clean sheet	16%	–	–
Matlama clean sheet	50%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.3%

0123450 8.5 13.3 12.9 8.2 4.1 1 4.7 10.4 8.9 5.6 2.8 2 3.5 3.2 2.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Limkokwing University down, Matlama across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 999 Premier League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.3% of games this season, across 39 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Limkokwing University at home: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Matlama away: 1.50 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.71 goals for Limkokwing University, 1.91 for Matlama. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~LIM 1–1 MAT · MAT 3–2 LIM · LIM 0–2 MAT · MAT 3–0 LIM

Form · last six in Premier League

LIMKOKWING UNIVERSITY

LDWLDD0–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 1–1

MATLAMA

WLWWWW2–0 · 0–1 · 3–0 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Bantu	5	+8	13
2	Matlama	4	+8	12
3	Lioli	5	+8	11
4	Linare	5	+4	10
5	Majantja	5	+3	10
6	Lijabatho	4	+9	8
7	Manonyane	5	+3	6
8	LCS	5	0	6
9	Limkokwing University	5	−1	6
10	LDF	5	−2	6
11	Members	5	−4	5
12	Lifofane	5	−4	4
13	SC Villa	5	−3	3
14	Machokha	5	−8	3
15	Mzamane	5	−14	3
16	LMPS	5	−7	1