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Shabab Al Sahel v Safa
Shabab Al SahelSafaPremier League · TUE 13 OCT
Corrected on 16 Oct: this prediction was last updated after the match had started (it kicked off on 12 Oct 13:00), so it is shown but not counted in the record’s figures.
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 07:01 · locked at kick-off
Shabab Al Sahel win24%Safa win50%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 13:00
Match timeline
All events
Shabab Al SahelMINSafaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Shabab Al Sahel
Safa
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Safa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Sahel | 1 | −1 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Safa a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.6.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shabab Al Sahel win | 24% | 32% | −8 |
| Draw | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| Safa win | 50% | 39% | +12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 44% | +5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 69% | +5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 24% | +4 |
| Shabab Al Sahel or draw | 50% | 61% | −12 |
| Shabab Al Sahel clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Safa clean sheet | 37% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2020Form · last six in Premier League
SHABAB AL SAHEL
SAFA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Nejmeh | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 |  Tadamon Sour | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Jwaaya FC | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Al Ansar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Safa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Tripoli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Al Hikma | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 9 |  Reyady Abaseya | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Sahel | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 12 |  Al Mabarrah | 1 | −3 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.