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Reyady Abaseya v Jwaaya FC

Reyady Abaseya
1–2Full time
Jwaaya FC

Premier League · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04
Reyady Abaseya 1–2 Jwaaya FC JWAAYA FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Jwaaya FC win51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.359

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jwaaya FC win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Jwaaya FC 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 20–29–51
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Reyady Abaseya v Jwaaya FC
  4. 29′Reyady Abaseya score on 29′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 55–27–18
  5. 29′We said Jwaaya FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–0 · 55–27–18
  6. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Reyady Abaseya 1–0 Jwaaya FC
  7. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 18% now
  8. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Reyady Abaseya win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Jwaaya FC win 18%)
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.2 we expected. 1–0 · 56–27–17
  10. 39′We said Jwaaya FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Reyady Abaseya 1–1 Jwaaya FC
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Reyady Abaseya 1–1 Jwaaya FC
  13. 47′Jwaaya FC find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 18–45–38
  14. 47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Reyady Abaseya 1–1 Jwaaya FC
  15. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 38% now
  16. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Reyady Abaseya win 18%)
  17. 48′We said Jwaaya FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 17–45–37
  18. 54′We said Jwaaya FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 16–49–34
  19. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
  20. 63′We said Jwaaya FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 14–57–29
  21. 69′We said Jwaaya FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 12–64–24
  22. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
  23. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 15% now
  24. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 11% now
  25. 83′A goal for Jwaaya FC on 83′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  26. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Reyady Abaseya 1–2 Jwaaya FC
  27. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Jwaaya FC win: 51% at kick-off, 95% now
  28. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Jwaaya FC win is now our likeliest result at 95% (was Draw 5%)
  29. 84′We said Jwaaya FC at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–4–95
  30. 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–4–95
  31. FTFULL TIME Reyady Abaseya 1–2 Jwaaya FC
  32. FTReyady Abaseya 1–2 Jwaaya FC · Jwaaya FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Jwaaya FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Reyady Abaseya 20%, draw 29%, Jwaaya FC 51%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Reyady Abaseya v Jwaaya FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Reyady Abaseya win20%
Draw29%
Jwaaya FC win51%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Reyady Abaseya

Jwaaya FC

10Days since last match5

Last match: 8 Oct · Premier League (Lebanon)

Last match: 13 Oct · Premier League (Lebanon)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Jwaaya FC2+66
9Reyady Abaseya1−10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jwaaya fc winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 14 Oct 04:44 · locked at kick-off
51% The market–
Us51%

We make Jwaaya FC a 51% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Reyady Abaseya v Jwaaya FC0.78 – 1.44
Form · Premier League this season · since 8 OctW0 D0 L1 · W2 D0 L0
Table places · points 0 v 69 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 12 OCT 04:0318 OCT 12:44
Our probability · Jwaaya FC win

Published at 50%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Reyady Abaseya win20%––
Draw29%––
Jwaaya FC win51%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score41%––
Over 1.5 goals65%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Reyady Abaseya or draw49%––
Reyady Abaseya clean sheet25%––
Jwaaya FC clean sheet47%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.8%
0123450 12.4 14.8 11.0 5.4 2.1 1 7.9 12.5 8.2 3.9 2 3.5 4.7 3.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Reyady Abaseya down, Jwaaya FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 2
Both scored0 of 2
Last meetingsJWA 0–0 REY · REY 0–2 JWA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 8 Oct

REYADY ABASEYA

L1–2

JWAAYA FC

WW3–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Tadamon Sour3+47
2Jwaaya FC2+66
3Safa2+46
4Al Ahed3+15
5Al Nejmeh2+24
6Tripoli SC2+24
7Al Ansar1+13
8Al Hikma3−41
9Reyady Abaseya1−10
10Al Mabarrah2−40
11Shabab Al Sahel2−40
12Al Akhaa Al Ahli3−70

The competition's standings before kick-off.