Jwaaya FC v Al Hikma prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 17:00

Jwaaya FC 3–0 Al Hikma JWAAYA FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Jwaaya FC win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.394

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Jwaaya FC win at 49%.
1′KICK-OFF Jwaaya FC v Al Hikma
2′Much as we predicted: Jwaaya FC was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–27–23
11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Jwaaya FC 1–0 Al Hikma
12′Jwaaya FC find the net on 11′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–16–7
12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Jwaaya FC win: 49% at kick-off, 77% now
14′We published Jwaaya FC at 49%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–16–7
19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Jwaaya FC 2–0 Al Hikma
21′H. Hammoud scores for Jwaaya FC on 19′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 94–5–1
21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Jwaaya FC win: 49% at kick-off, 94% now
22′We published Jwaaya FC at 49%. Our model now makes it 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–1
30′We published Jwaaya FC at 49%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–0 · 95–4–1
45′HALF-TIME Jwaaya FC 2–0 Al Hikma
46′SECOND HALF Jwaaya FC 2–0 Al Hikma
62′A red card for Al Hikma on 61′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–0 · 98–2–0
62′🟥 RED CARD · 61' Al Hikma
64′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 2–0 · 98–2–0
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Jwaaya FC win: 49% at kick-off, 99% now
77′77′ and it is 3–0: Jwaaya FC have scored. 3–0 · 100–0–0
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Jwaaya FC 3–0 Al Hikma
78′We published Jwaaya FC at 49%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
80′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
90′🟥 RED CARD · 97' Al Hikma
FTFULL TIME Jwaaya FC 3–0 Al Hikma
FTJwaaya FC 3–0 Al Hikma · Jwaaya FC win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Our analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.

What decides it

1

The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.

– –

2

Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.

– –

3

What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.

– –

The AI’s read on this match

The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.

See the passes

Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 14:12 · locked at kick-off

Jwaaya FC win49%

Draw28%

Al Hikma win23%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 14:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Jwaaya FC

Al Hikma

4Days since last match5

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Jwaaya FC	1	+3	3
8	Al Hikma	1	−1	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jwaaya fc winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 14:12 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Jwaaya FC a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · jwaaya fc win

Published at 47%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Jwaaya FC win	49%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Al Hikma win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Jwaaya FC or draw	77%	–	–
Jwaaya FC clean sheet	42%	–	–
Al Hikma clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.4%

0123450 11.3 8.0 3.9 1 13.4 12.9 5.3 2 10.0 8.5 3.8 3 4.9 4.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Jwaaya FC down, Al Hikma across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 812 Premier League matches up to 13 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Jwaaya FC at home: 1.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Hikma away: 0.50 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.43 goals for Jwaaya FC, 0.88 for Al Hikma. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ALH 3–3 JWA · JWA 1–0 ALH · JWA 2–1 ALH

Form · last six in Premier League

JWAAYA FC

LWLLDW0–2 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 3–0

AL HIKMA

LDWWLL0–1 · 3–3 · 4–2 · 4–1 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Nejmeh	2	+2	4
2	Tadamon Sour	2	+1	4
3	Jwaaya FC	1	+3	3
4	Al Ansar	1	+1	3
5	Safa	1	+1	3
6	Al Ahed	1	0	1
7	Tripoli SC	1	0	1
8	Al Hikma	1	−1	0
9	Reyady Abaseya	1	−1	0
10	Shabab Al Sahel	1	−1	0
11	Al Akhaa Al Ahli	1	−2	0
12	Al Mabarrah	1	−3	0