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Al Nejmeh v Tadamon Sour

Al Nejmeh
3–3Full time
Tadamon Sour

Premier League · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 16:32
Al Nejmeh 3–3 Tadamon Sour AL NEJMEH WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Nejmeh win70%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.125

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 52 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Nejmeh win at 70%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Nejmeh 70% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–20–9
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Nejmeh v Tadamon Sour
  4. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Al Nejmeh 1–0 Tadamon Sour
  5. 7′Al Nejmeh ahead on 5′ through M. Salifu. 1–0. 1–0 · 91–7–2
  6. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  7. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  8. 9′We said Al Nejmeh at 70% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 1–0 · 91–7–2
  9. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  10. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  11. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  12. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  13. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  14. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  15. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  16. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  17. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 91% now
  18. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  19. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  20. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  21. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  22. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 21' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  23. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  24. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  25. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  26. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  27. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  28. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  29. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  30. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  31. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  32. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 90–8–2
  33. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  34. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  35. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  36. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  37. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  38. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  39. 37′Al Nejmeh are down to ten from 26′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  40. 37′🟥 RED CARD · 36' Al Nejmeh
  41. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  42. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 38' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  43. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  44. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  45. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  46. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  47. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Al Nejmeh win: 70% at kick-off, 90% now
  48. 45′⚽ GOAL · 44' Al Nejmeh 1–1 Tadamon Sour
  49. 45′⚽ GOAL · 51' Al Nejmeh 2–1 Tadamon Sour
  50. 45′HALF-TIME Al Nejmeh 2–1 Tadamon Sour
  51. 46′SECOND HALF Al Nejmeh 2–1 Tadamon Sour
  52. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' Al Nejmeh 3–1 Tadamon Sour
  53. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Al Nejmeh 3–2 Tadamon Sour
  54. 74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Al Nejmeh 3–3 Tadamon Sour
  55. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Al Nejmeh 4–3 Tadamon Sour
  56. 90′⚽ GOAL · 92' Al Nejmeh 4–3 Tadamon Sour
  57. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Al Nejmeh 4–3 Tadamon Sour · L. Plamedi
  58. FTFULL TIME Al Nejmeh 3–3 Tadamon Sour
  59. FTAl Nejmeh 3–3 Tadamon Sour · Al Nejmeh win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 14:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Nejmeh win70%
Draw21%
Tadamon Sour win9%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Al Nejmeh

Tadamon Sour

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Al Nejmeh1+23
5Tadamon Sour1+13

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al nejmeh winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 14:01 · locked at kick-off
70% The market–
Us70%

We make Al Nejmeh a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.5, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Nejmeh win70%––
Draw21%––
Tadamon Sour win9%––
Over 2.5 goals45%––
Both teams to score35%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals24%––
Al Nejmeh or draw91%––
Al Nejmeh clean sheet60%––
Tadamon Sour clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.8%
0123450 9.5 4.1 1 15.8 9.0 2.3 2 15.5 7.9 2.2 3 10.1 5.1 4 5.2 2.5 5 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Nejmeh down, Tadamon Sour across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2020
Goals a meeting2.20
Over 2.53 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsALN 1–0 TAD · TAD 0–0 ALN · ALN 4–1 TAD · ALN 5–1 TAD

Form · last six in Premier League

AL NEJMEH

WDWWLW2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–0

TADAMON SOUR

LWDWLW0–3 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Jwaaya FC1+33
2Al Nejmeh1+23
3Al Ansar1+13
4Safa1+13
5Tadamon Sour1+13
6Al Ahed101
7Tripoli SC101
8Al Hikma1−10
9Reyady Abaseya1−10
10Shabab Al Sahel1−10
11Al Akhaa Al Ahli1−20
12Al Mabarrah1−30

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.