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Al Hikma v Al Mabarrah
Al Hikma
Al MabarrahPremier League · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Hikma win at 61%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Hikma v Al Mabarrah
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Al Hikma 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–24–15
- 18′Al Mabarrah score on 18′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 30–27–43
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Al Hikma 0–1 Al Mabarrah
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Al Hikma win: 61% at kick-off, 30% now
- 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Al Mabarrah win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Al Hikma win 57%)
- 19′We said Al Hikma at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 25–28–47
- 32′We said Al Hikma at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–48
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Al Hikma win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
- 42′We said Al Hikma at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–29–52
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Hikma 0–1 Al Mabarrah
- 46′SECOND HALF Al Hikma 0–1 Al Mabarrah
- 52′We said Al Hikma at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–28–57
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Al Hikma win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
- 62′We said Al Hikma at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–64
- 73′We said Al Hikma at 61%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Al Hikma win: 61% at kick-off, 1% now
- FTFULL TIME Al Hikma 0–1 Al Mabarrah
- FTAl Hikma 0–1 Al Mabarrah · Al Hikma win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Al Hikma are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Hikma 61%, draw 24%, Al Mabarrah 15%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Al Hikma win61%
Al Mabarrah win15%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 4
Match timeline
All events
Al HikmaMIN
Al MabarrahEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Hikma
Al Mabarrah
Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Lebanon)
Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Lebanon)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Hikma a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 59%, 61% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hikma win | 61% | – | – |
| Draw | 24% | – | – |
| Al Mabarrah win | 15% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 42% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | – | – |
| Al Hikma or draw | 85% | – | – |
| Al Hikma clean sheet | 49% | – | – |
| Al Mabarrah clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 8 Oct
AL HIKMA
AL MABARRAH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jwaaya FC | 4 | +9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tadamon Sour | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Safa | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 5 | Tripoli SC | 4 | +4 | 7 |
| 6 | Al Nejmeh | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ansar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Hikma | 3 | −4 | 1 |
| 9 | Reyady Abaseya | 3 | −3 | 0 |
| 10 | Shabab Al Sahel | 3 | −6 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Mabarrah | 3 | −7 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 4 | −8 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Jwaaya FC
Tadamon Sour
Safa
Al Ahed
Tripoli SC
Al Nejmeh
Al Ansar
Reyady Abaseya
Shabab Al Sahel
Al Akhaa Al Ahli