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Al Hikma v Al Ahed
Al Hikma
Al AhedPremier League · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Ahed win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Ahed 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 27–25–48
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Hikma v Al Ahed
- 33′Little has changed for our model: Al Ahed 48% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 25–33–42
- 40′A goal for Al Ahed on 40′. 0–0 · 25–35–40
- 41′We said Al Ahed at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 0–1 · 7–18–76
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 40' Al Hikma 0–1 Al Ahed
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 76% now
- 42′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 7–18–76
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Hikma 0–1 Al Ahed
- 45′SECOND HALF Al Hikma 0–1 Al Ahed
- 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
- 61′We said Al Ahed at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 4–17–80
- 73′We said Al Ahed at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 77′We said Al Ahed at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 13–69–19
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Al Hikma 1–1 Al Ahed
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 19% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 69% (was Al Ahed win 19%)
- 78′A goal for Al Hikma on 77′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 12–71–17
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 17% now
- 81′We said Al Ahed at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 10–77–14
- 81′We said Al Ahed at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 81′GOAL DISALLOWED · 81' Al Hikma
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 90% now
- 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Al Ahed win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
- 82′We said Al Ahed at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–1 · 0–8–91
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 91% now
- 87′We said Al Ahed at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 90′1–1 at the end. Our 48% on Al Ahed misses, and the record keeps it. 1–1 · 0–100–0
- 92′We said Al Ahed at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 3–94–4
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Al Hikma 1–1 Al Ahed
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Al Ahed win: 48% at kick-off, 4% now
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Al Ahed win 4%)
- 93′A goal for Al Hikma on 90′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 2–95–3
- FTFULL TIME Al Hikma 1–1 Al Ahed
- FTAl Hikma 1–1 Al Ahed · Al Ahed win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAl Ahed are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Hikma 27%, draw 25%, Al Ahed 48%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Al Hikma win27%
Al Ahed win48%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:30
RoundMatchday 3
Match timeline
All events
Al HikmaMIN
Al AhedEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Hikma
Al Ahed
Last match: 13 Oct · Premier League (Lebanon)
Last match: 13 Oct · Premier League (Lebanon)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Ahed a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 47%, 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Hikma win | 27% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Al Ahed win | 48% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 56% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – | – |
| Al Hikma or draw | 52% | – | – |
| Al Hikma clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Al Ahed clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 8 Oct
AL HIKMA
AL AHED
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jwaaya FC | 2 | +6 | 6 |
| 2 | Safa | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 3 | Al Nejmeh | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 4 | Tripoli SC | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 5 | Tadamon Sour | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Ahed | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Ansar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 8 | Reyady Abaseya | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 9 | Al Hikma | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 10 | Al Mabarrah | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 11 | Shabab Al Sahel | 2 | −4 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 2 | −4 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Jwaaya FC
Safa
Al Nejmeh
Tripoli SC
Tadamon Sour
Al Ansar
Reyady Abaseya
Al Mabarrah
Shabab Al Sahel
Al Akhaa Al Ahli