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Al Ahed v Al Mabarrah
Al AhedAl MabarrahPremier League · TUE 13 OCT · Beirut Municipal Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Ahed win at 75%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Ahed 75% before kick-off, 77% now. 0–0 · 77–15–8
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Ahed v Al Mabarrah
- 28′A goal for Al Ahed on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 90–8–2
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Al Ahed 1–0 Al Mabarrah
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Al Ahed win: 75% at kick-off, 90% now
- 29′We said Al Ahed at 75% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–8–2
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 1–0 · 90–8–2
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Ahed 1–0 Al Mabarrah
- 46′SECOND HALF Al Ahed 1–0 Al Mabarrah
- 78′Al Mabarrah are down to ten from 78′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 93–6–0
- 78′🟥 RED CARD · 78' Al Mabarrah
- 81′We said Al Ahed at 75% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Al Ahed win: 75% at kick-off, 95% now
- FTFULL TIME Al Ahed 1–0 Al Mabarrah
- FTAl Ahed 1–0 Al Mabarrah · Al Ahed win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassOur analyst’s one-line verdict on how this match goes.
What decides it
The reason that decides itThe fact behind it, in one line.
– –Where the chances come fromThe figure that shows it, in one line.
– –What could tip the balanceWhat could change it, in one line.
– –The verdict, the three reasons that decide it, what would change it and the players to watch — checked live during the game, with a review after full time. Included with a pass.
See the passesPre-match prediction
Published 13 Oct 18:26 · locked at kick-off
Al Ahed win75%Al Mabarrah win9%Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 19:00
VenueBeirut Municipal Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Al AhedMINAl MabarrahEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Al Ahed
Al Mabarrah
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Al Mabarrah | 1 | −3 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Ahed a 75% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
Published at 74%, 75% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahed win | 75% | – | – |
| Draw | 16% | – | – |
| Al Mabarrah win | 9% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 46% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | – | – |
| Al Ahed or draw | 91% | – | – |
| Al Ahed clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
| Al Mabarrah clean sheet | 9% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Premier League
AL AHED
AL MABARRAH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Nejmeh | 2 | +2 | 4 |
| 2 |  Tadamon Sour | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Jwaaya FC | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 4 |  Al Ansar | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 |  Safa | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Al Ahed | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Tripoli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Al Hikma | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 9 |  Reyady Abaseya | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 10 |  Shabab Al Sahel | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Al Akhaa Al Ahli | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Mabarrah | 1 | −3 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.