Skanste v Smiltene

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Skanste win at 62%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Skanste was 62% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–18–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Skanste v Smiltene
4. 21′A goal for Smiltene on 21′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 36–22–42
5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Skanste 0–1 Smiltene
6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Skanste win: 62% at kick-off, 36% now
7. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Smiltene win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Skanste win 58%)
8. 22′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–1 · 35–22–43
9. 25′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–1 · 34–22–43
10. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Skanste win: 62% at kick-off, 31% now
11. 36′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–24–46
12. 38′Smiltene score on 38′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 12–16–72
13. 38′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 0–2 · 12–16–72
14. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Skanste 0–2 Smiltene
15. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Skanste win: 62% at kick-off, 12% now
16. 39′Goals are coming at about the 4.3 we expected. 0–2 · 12–16–72
17. 45′HALF-TIME Skanste 0–2 Smiltene
18. 46′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–2 · 9–15–76
19. 46′SECOND HALF Skanste 0–2 Smiltene
20. 47′Skanste find the net on 47′. 1–2. 1–2 · 24–26–50
21. 47′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–26–50
22. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Skanste 1–2 Smiltene
23. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Skanste win: 62% at kick-off, 24% now
24. 55′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–27–54
25. 62′A goal for Smiltene on 61′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 4–11–85
26. 62′We said Skanste at 62%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–3 · 4–11–85
27. 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Skanste 1–3 Smiltene
28. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Skanste win: 62% at kick-off, 4% now
29. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Skanste win: 62% at kick-off, 2% now
30. FTFULL TIME Skanste 1–3 Smiltene
31. FTSkanste 1–3 Smiltene · Skanste win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.