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Rīgas FS II v Mārupe

Rīgas FS II
2–3Full time
Mārupe

1. Liga · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 13:08
Rīgas FS II 2–3 Mārupe RĪGAS FS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Rīgas FS II win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.708

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Rīgas FS II win at 45%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Rīgas FS II 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–22–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Rīgas FS II v Mārupe
  4. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Rīgas FS II 1–0 Mārupe
  5. 24′2′ and it is 1–0: M. Sylla on the scoresheet for Rīgas FS II. 1–0 · 68–19–13
  6. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Rīgas FS II win: 45% at kick-off, 68% now
  7. 31′⚽ GOAL · 30' Rīgas FS II 2–0 Mārupe
  8. 35′Rīgas FS II ahead on 30′ through V. Osuagwu. 2–0. 2–0 · 89–8–3
  9. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Rīgas FS II win: 45% at kick-off, 89% now
  10. 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' Rīgas FS II 2–1 Mārupe
  11. 45′R. Cevers scores for Mārupe on 37′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 71–20–9
  12. 45′We said Rīgas FS II at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 2–1 · 71–20–9
  13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Rīgas FS II win: 45% at kick-off, 71% now
  14. 45′HALF-TIME Rīgas FS II 2–1 Mārupe
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Rīgas FS II 2–1 Mārupe
  16. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Rīgas FS II 2–2 Mārupe
  17. 90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Rīgas FS II 2–3 Mārupe
  18. FTFULL TIME Rīgas FS II 2–3 Mārupe
  19. FTRīgas FS II 2–3 Mārupe · Rīgas FS II win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Rīgas FS II win45%
Draw23%
Mārupe win33%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 10:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rīgas fs ii winPublished 10 Oct 10:08
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Rīgas FS II a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rīgas FS II win45%––
Draw23%––
Mārupe win33%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score67%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals46%––
Rīgas FS II or draw67%––
Rīgas FS II clean sheet21%––
Mārupe clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%
0123450 4.0 4.4 3.9 2.1 1 5.4 9.6 6.9 3.7 2 5.6 8.3 6.4 3.4 3 3.6 5.3 4.1 2.2 4 2.6 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Rīgas FS II down, Mārupe across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.55 of 5
Both scored5 of 5
Last meetingsMAR 1–4 RIG · RIG 4–1 MAR · MAR 1–2 RIG · RIG 3–1 MAR

Form · last six in 1. Liga

RĪGAS FS II

LLLWLL1–12 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 3–4 · 3–6

MĀRUPE

LWLLWD0–1 · 2–1 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 5–0 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Metta / LU21+7254
2Valmiera / BSS21+3751
3Leevon / PPK21+1849
4Riga Mariners21+2747
5JDFS Alberts21+1137
6Mārupe21+229
7Skanste21+126
8Riga FC II21−826
9Super Nova 221−425
10Tukums II21−3318
11Smiltene21−2816
12JFK Ventspils21−2015
13Rīgas FS II21−2815
14Rēzekne FA21−476

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.