Riga Mariners v Skanste

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Riga Mariners win at 68%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Riga Mariners was 68% before kick-off and our model makes it 68% now. 0–0 · 68–17–15
3. 1′KICK-OFF Riga Mariners v Skanste
4. 23′Skanste score on 23′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 40–23–37
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Riga Mariners 0–1 Skanste
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 40% now
7. 24′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 0–1 · 40–23–37
8. 25′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–1 · 39–24–37
9. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 38% now
10. 28′Skanste find the net on 27′. 0–2. 0–2 · 19–19–62
11. 28′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–2 · 19–19–62
12. 28′⚽ GOAL · 27' Riga Mariners 0–2 Skanste
13. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 19% now
14. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Skanste win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Riga Mariners win 19%)
15. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 18% now
16. 36′Goals are coming at about the 4.1 we expected. 0–2 · 16–18–66
17. 38′A red card for Skanste on 38′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–2 · 15–18–68
18. 38′🟥 RED CARD · 38' Skanste
19. 39′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–2 · 14–18–68
20. 40′A goal for Riga Mariners on 40′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 31–26–42
21. 40′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–2 · 31–26–42
22. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Riga Mariners 1–2 Skanste
23. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 31% now
24. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 38' M. Lampty · Skanste
25. 44′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–27–44
26. 45′HALF-TIME Riga Mariners 1–2 Skanste
27. 46′SECOND HALF Riga Mariners 1–2 Skanste
28. 49′Riga Mariners score on 49′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 54–30–17
29. 49′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 2–2 · 54–30–17
30. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Riga Mariners 2–2 Skanste
31. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 54% now
32. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Riga Mariners win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Skanste win 17%)
33. 54′Riga Mariners find the net on 54′. 3–2. 3–2 · 84–13–4
34. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Riga Mariners 3–2 Skanste
35. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 84% now
36. 55′We published Riga Mariners at 68%. Our model now makes it 84%. 3–2 · 84–13–3
37. 55′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 84–13–3
38. 57′A goal for Skanste on 57′ — 3–3. 3–3 · 49–35–16
39. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Riga Mariners 3–3 Skanste
40. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 49% now
41. 58′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 3–3 · 48–36–16
42. 58′6 goals already, more than the 4.1 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 48–36–16
43. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 48% now
44. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Riga Mariners win 40%)
45. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 38% now
46. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 27% now
47. 80′We said Riga Mariners at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 3–3 · 24–67–10
48. 82′Riga Mariners score on 82′ to make it 4–3. 4–3 · 92–8–0
49. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Riga Mariners 4–3 Skanste
50. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 92% now
51. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Riga Mariners win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 8%)
52. 83′We published Riga Mariners at 68%. Our model now makes it 93%. 4–3 · 93–7–0
53. 83′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.1 across ninety minutes. 4–3 · 93–7–0
54. 87′We published Riga Mariners at 68%. Our model now makes it 95%. 4–3 · 95–5–0
55. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Riga Mariners win: 68% at kick-off, 98% now
56. FTFULL TIME Riga Mariners 4–3 Skanste
57. FTRiga Mariners 4–3 Skanste · Riga Mariners win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.