JDFS Alberts v Rēzekne FA prediction · 1. Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

JDFS AlbertsDrawRēzekne FA

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · JDFS Alberts 86%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

JDFS Alberts are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: JDFS Alberts 86%, draw 10%, Rēzekne FA 4%. Over 2.5 goals 77%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on JDFS Alberts v Rēzekne FABefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

JDFS Alberts win86%

Draw10%

Rēzekne FA win4%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 24

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

JDFS Alberts

Rēzekne FA

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · 1. Liga

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	JDFS Alberts	23	+13	41
14	Rēzekne FA	23	−53	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jdfs alberts winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

86% The market–

Us86%

We make JDFS Alberts an 86% chance to win. The model expects 3.5–0.7, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · JDFS Alberts v Rēzekne FA~~3.45 – 0.69

~~Form · last six in 1. Liga this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 41 v 6~~5 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JDFS Alberts win	86%	–	–
Draw	10%	–	–
Rēzekne FA win	4%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	77%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	58%	–	–
JDFS Alberts or draw	96%	–	–
JDFS Alberts clean sheet	51%	–	–
Rēzekne FA clean sheet	4%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 10.5%

0123450 2.2 1 5.7 4.3 2 9.6 6.5 2.3 3 10.5 7.1 2.5 4 8.9 5.9 2.1 5 6.2 4.1

under 2% 5% 12%+JDFS Alberts down, Rēzekne FA across0–5 goals a side shown (85.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 959 1. Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 70.5% of games this season, across 166 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.60 goals a meeting; 7 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

JDFS Alberts at home: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Rēzekne FA away: 0.50 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.45 goals for JDFS Alberts, 0.69 for Rēzekne FA. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.60

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~REZ 2–4 JDF · REZ 0–0 JDF · JDF 8–1 REZ · REZ 0–7 JDF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Liga this season · since 29 Aug

JDFS ALBERTS

WWLLWD2–0 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 2–2

RĒZEKNE FA

LLDLLL1–6 · 0–5 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 0–5 · 0–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Metta / LU	24	+80	63
2	Valmiera / BSS	24	+40	56
3	Riga Mariners	24	+29	53
4	Leevon / PPK	24	+20	53
5	JDFS Alberts	23	+13	41
6	Mārupe	24	−2	33
7	Riga FC II	23	−3	30
8	Super Nova 2	24	−3	29
9	Skanste	24	−4	26
10	Smiltene	24	−25	23
11	Tukums II	24	−37	19
12	Rīgas FS II	23	−28	18
13	JFK Ventspils	24	−27	16
14	Rēzekne FA	23	−53	6