Viengchanh v Namtha United prediction · Lao League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ViengchanhDrawNamtha United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Viengchanh 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Viengchanh are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Viengchanh 61%, draw 19%, Namtha United 20%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Viengchanh v Namtha UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Viengchanh win61%

Draw19%

Namtha United win20%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Viengchanh

Namtha United

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Lao League

Last match: 17 Oct · Lao League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Viengchanh	2	+2	4
7	Namtha United	2	0	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · viengchanh winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 25 Oct 00:20 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Viengchanh a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Viengchanh v Namtha United~~2.50 – 1.22

~~Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct~~W1 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 3~~3 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Viengchanh win

Published at 62%, 61% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Viengchanh win	61%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Namtha United win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
Viengchanh or draw	80%	–	–
Viengchanh clean sheet	33%	–	–
Namtha United clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.8%

0123450 4.2 3.5 2.4 1 6.9 7.7 4.7 2.2 2 7.5 7.8 4.9 2.3 3 5.8 5.9 3.6 4 3.7 3.6 2.1 5 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Viengchanh down, Namtha United across0–5 goals a side shown (92.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 325 Lao League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Lao League matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.4% of games recently, across 325 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.83 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Viengchanh at home: 3.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Namtha United away: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.50 goals for Viengchanh, 1.22 for Namtha United. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.83

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~5 of 6

~~Last meetings~~NAM 0–3 VIE · VIE 3–1 NAM · VIE 2–2 NAM · NAM 1–1 VIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct

VIENGCHANH

DW0–0 · 2–0

NAMTHA UNITED

WL1–0 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ezra	3	+12	9
2	Salavan United	3	+7	9
3	Viengchanh	2	+2	4
4	Savannakhet	2	+1	4
5	Luangprabang FC	2	+6	3
6	Champasak United	2	+1	3
7	Namtha United	2	0	3
8	Lao Toyota	1	−4	0
9	Lao Army	3	−5	0
10	Master 7	2	−10	0
11	Oudomxay Entremets	2	−10	0