Namtha United v Savannakhet prediction · Lao League

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 20:34

Namtha United 3–4 Savannakhet NAMTHA UNITED WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Namtha United win~~76%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.418

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Namtha United are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Namtha United 76%, draw 15%, Savannakhet 9%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Namtha United v SavannakhetBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Namtha United win76%

Draw15%

Savannakhet win9%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Namtha United

Savannakhet

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Lao League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Namtha United	1	+1	3
5	Savannakhet	1	0	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · namtha united winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make Namtha United a 76% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–0.9, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Namtha United v Savannakhet~~3.02 – 0.89

~~Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct~~W1 D0 L0 · W0 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~4 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Namtha United win	76%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Savannakhet win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Namtha United or draw	91%	–	–
Namtha United clean sheet	44%	–	–
Savannakhet clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.1%

0123450 4.2 2.2 1 7.2 5.9 2.5 2 9.1 7.1 3.2 3 8.2 6.6 3.1 4 6.1 5.0 2.3 5 3.9 3.2

under 2% 5% 12%+Namtha United down, Savannakhet across0–5 goals a side shown (88.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 318 Lao League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Lao League matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games recently, across 318 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Namtha United at home: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Savannakhet away: 0.33 scored, 6.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.02 goals for Namtha United, 0.89 for Savannakhet. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~NAM 5–0 SAV · SAV 1–3 NAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct

NAMTHA UNITED

W1–0

SAVANNAKHET

D0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Champasak United	1	+3	3
2	Ezra	1	+2	3
3	Salavan United	1	+2	3
4	Namtha United	1	+1	3
5	Savannakhet	1	0	1
6	Viengchanh	1	0	1
7	Lao Toyota	0	0	0
8	Lao Army	1	−1	0
9	Luangprabang FC	1	−2	0
10	Oudomxay Entremets	1	−2	0
11	Master 7	1	−3	0