Master 7 v Ezra prediction · Lao League

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 12:08

Master 7 0–7 Ezra EZRA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ezra win~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.093

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 14 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Ezra win at 75%.
1′Much as we predicted: Ezra was 75% before kick-off and our model makes it 75% now. 0–0 · 12–13–75
1′KICK-OFF Master 7 v Ezra
26′Ezra score on 26′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 4–8–87
26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Master 7 0–1 Ezra
26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Ezra win: 75% at kick-off, 87% now
27′We published Ezra at 75%. Our model now makes it 87%. 0–1 · 4–9–87
39′Ezra find the net on 38′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
39′We published Ezra at 75%. Our model now makes it 96%. 0–2 · 1–3–96
39′⚽ GOAL · 38' Master 7 0–2 Ezra
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Ezra win: 75% at kick-off, 96% now
40′Goals are coming at about the 4.6 we expected. 0–2 · 1–3–96
44′A goal for Ezra on 43′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
44′⚽ GOAL · 43' Master 7 0–3 Ezra
45′HALF-TIME Master 7 0–3 Ezra
46′SECOND HALF Master 7 0–3 Ezra
49′A red card for Master 7 on 45′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–3 · 0–1–99
49′🟥 RED CARD · 45+4' Master 7
54′We published Ezra at 75%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
77′Ezra score on 77′ to make it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Master 7 0–4 Ezra
80′Ezra find the net on 80′. 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Master 7 0–5 Ezra
81′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.6 across ninety minutes. 0–5 · 0–0–100
88′A goal for Ezra on 87′ — 0–6. 0–6 · 0–0–100
88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Master 7 0–6 Ezra
89′6 goals already, more than the 4.6 we expected for the whole match. 0–6 · 0–0–100
92′Ezra score on 90′ to make it 0–7. 0–7 · 0–0–100
92′That is 7, and we only asked for 4.6 across ninety minutes. 0–7 · 0–0–100
92′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Master 7 0–7 Ezra
FTFULL TIME Master 7 0–7 Ezra
FTMaster 7 0–7 Ezra · Ezra win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ezra are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Master 7 12%, draw 13%, Ezra 75%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Master 7 v EzraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Master 7 win12%

Draw13%

Ezra win75%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:30

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Master 7

Ezra

14Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Lao League

Last match: 17 Oct · Lao League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Ezra	2	+5	6
8	Master 7	1	−3	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ezra winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Ezra a 75% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–3.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Master 7 v Ezra~~1.08 – 3.56

~~Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W2 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 6~~8 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Master 7 win	12%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Ezra win	75%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	62%	–	–
Master 7 or draw	25%	–	–
Master 7 clean sheet	6%	–	–
Ezra clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 6.8%

0123450 2.3 4.7 6.8 6.6 5.3 3.81 5.1 6.6 6.2 4.7 3.12 2.9 3.9 3.6 2.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Master 7 down, Ezra across0–5 goals a side shown (82.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 323 Lao League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Lao League matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games recently, across 323 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.80 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Master 7 at home: 0.83 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Ezra away: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.08 goals for Master 7, 3.56 for Ezra. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.80

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~EZR 4–2 MAS · MAS 0–3 EZR · EZR 1–1 MAS · MAS 0–1 EZR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct

MASTER 7

L0–3

EZRA

WW2–0 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Salavan United	2	+6	6
2	Ezra	2	+5	6
3	Viengchanh	2	+2	4
4	Savannakhet	2	+1	4
5	Luangprabang FC	2	+6	3
6	Champasak United	2	+1	3
7	Namtha United	2	0	3
8	Master 7	1	−3	0
9	Lao Toyota	1	−4	0
10	Lao Army	2	−4	0
11	Oudomxay Entremets	2	−10	0