Champasak United v Luangprabang FC prediction · Lao League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Champasak UnitedDrawLuangprabang FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 08:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Luangprabang FC 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Luangprabang FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Champasak United 34%, draw 22%, Luangprabang FC 44%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Champasak United v Luangprabang FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Champasak United win34%

Draw22%

Luangprabang FC win44%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 08:30

RoundMatchday 3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Champasak United

Luangprabang FC

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · Lao League

Last match: 17 Oct · Lao League

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Luangprabang FC	2	+6	3
6	Champasak United	2	+1	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · luangprabang fc winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Luangprabang FC a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Champasak United v Luangprabang FC~~1.65 – 1.93

~~Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct~~W1 D0 L1 · W1 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 3~~6 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Champasak United win	34%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Luangprabang FC win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
Champasak United or draw	56%	–	–
Champasak United clean sheet	18%	–	–
Luangprabang FC clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%

0123450 4.6 5.7 5.3 3.3 1 5.0 9.1 7.4 4.6 2.4 2 4.2 6.7 5.8 3.6 3 2.4 3.8 3.3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Champasak United down, Luangprabang FC across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 323 Lao League matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Lao League matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.5% of games recently, across 323 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.33 goals a meeting; 2 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Champasak United at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Luangprabang FC away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Champasak United, 1.93 for Luangprabang FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~LUA 1–0 CHA · CHA 1–0 LUA · CHA 0–4 LUA · LUA 2–0 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Lao League this season · since 10 Oct

CHAMPASAK UNITED

WL3–0 · 0–2

LUANGPRABANG FC

LW0–2 · 8–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Ezra	3	+12	9
2	Salavan United	3	+7	9
3	Viengchanh	2	+2	4
4	Savannakhet	2	+1	4
5	Luangprabang FC	2	+6	3
6	Champasak United	2	+1	3
7	Namtha United	2	0	3
8	Lao Toyota	1	−4	0
9	Lao Army	3	−5	0
10	Master 7	2	−10	0
11	Oudomxay Entremets	2	−10	0