Talant v Bishkek City

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Talant win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Talant was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–29–29
3. 1′KICK-OFF Talant v Bishkek City
4. 27′Bishkek City score on 27′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–24–62
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Talant 0–1 Bishkek City
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Talant win: 43% at kick-off, 14% now
7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Bishkek City win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Talant win 38%)
8. 28′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–62
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 0–1 · 14–24–62
10. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Talant win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
11. 45′HALF-TIME Talant 1–1 Bishkek City
12. 46′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
13. 46′SECOND HALF Talant 1–1 Bishkek City
14. 52′Talant find the net on 45′. 1–1. 1–1 · 31–47–23
15. 52′⚽ GOAL · 45+7' Talant 1–1 Bishkek City
16. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+7' Talant win: 43% at kick-off, 31% now
17. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+7' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Bishkek City win 69%)
18. 53′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–47–22
19. 56′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–21
20. 65′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–57–18
21. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Talant win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
22. 73′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
23. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Talant win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
24. 85′A goal for Bishkek City on 85′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–7–93
25. 85′⚽ GOAL · 85' Talant 1–2 Bishkek City
26. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Talant win: 43% at kick-off, under 1% now
27. 85′THE CALL SWINGS · 85' Bishkek City win is now our likeliest result at 93% (was Draw 87%)
28. 86′We said Talant at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–7–93
29. 86′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–7–93
30. FTFULL TIME Talant 1–2 Bishkek City
31. FTTalant 1–2 Bishkek City · Talant win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.