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OshMU Aldier v Asiagoal

OshMU Aldier
0–4Full time
Asiagoal

Premier League · THU 22 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 17:01
OshMU Aldier 0–4 Asiagoal OSHMU ALDIER WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said OshMU Aldier win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.829

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 12 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said OshMU Aldier win at 49%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: OshMU Aldier 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
  3. 1′KICK-OFF OshMU Aldier v Asiagoal
  4. 25′Asiagoal score on 25′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 22–23–55
  5. 25′We said OshMU Aldier at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–23–55
  6. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' OshMU Aldier 0–1 Asiagoal
  7. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' OshMU Aldier win: 49% at kick-off, 22% now
  8. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Asiagoal win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was OshMU Aldier win 45%)
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.2 we expected. 0–1 · 20–24–56
  10. 33′Asiagoal find the net on 32′. 0–2. 0–2 · 7–13–81
  11. 33′We said OshMU Aldier at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 0–2 · 7–13–81
  12. 33′⚽ GOAL · 32' OshMU Aldier 0–2 Asiagoal
  13. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' OshMU Aldier win: 49% at kick-off, 7% now
  14. 38′OshMU Aldier are down to ten from 38′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–2 · 6–12–82
  15. 38′🟥 RED CARD · 38' OshMU Aldier
  16. 44′We said OshMU Aldier at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
  17. 45′HALF-TIME OshMU Aldier 0–2 Asiagoal
  18. 46′SECOND HALF OshMU Aldier 0–2 Asiagoal
  19. 83′A goal for Asiagoal on 83′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  20. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' OshMU Aldier 0–3 Asiagoal
  21. 88′Asiagoal score on 87′ to make it 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  22. 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  23. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' OshMU Aldier 0–4 Asiagoal
  24. FTFULL TIME OshMU Aldier 0–4 Asiagoal
  25. FTOshMU Aldier 0–4 Asiagoal · OshMU Aldier win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

OshMU Aldier are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: OshMU Aldier 49%, draw 24%, Asiagoal 27%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on OshMU Aldier v AsiagoalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off

OshMU Aldier win49%
Draw24%
Asiagoal win27%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 27

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

OshMU Aldier

Asiagoal

7Days since last match5

Last match: 15 Oct · Premier League (Kyrgyzstan)

Last match: 17 Oct · Premier League (Kyrgyzstan)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13OshMU Aldier26−1528
14Asiagoal26−1521

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · oshmu aldier winFirst published 19 Oct 15:32 · locked at kick-off
49% The market–
Us49%

We make OshMU Aldier a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · OshMU Aldier v Asiagoal1.88 – 1.35
Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 24 AugW1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 28 v 2113 v 14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
OshMU Aldier win49%––
Draw24%––
Asiagoal win27%––
Over 2.5 goals62%––
Both teams to score62%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals40%––
OshMU Aldier or draw73%––
OshMU Aldier clean sheet27%––
Asiagoal clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%
0123450 4.9 4.8 3.7 1 6.9 10.6 6.6 3.0 2 7.0 9.2 6.1 2.8 3 4.4 5.7 3.8 4 2.1 2.8 5
under 2% 5% 12%+OshMU Aldier down, Asiagoal across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.33
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsASI 1–1 OSH · OSH 1–0 ASI · ASI 1–3 OSH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 24 Aug

OSHMU ALDIER

LWDLLL1–2 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 0–3

ASIAGOAL

DWLLLL0–0 · 2–0 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 2–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Bars27+3658
2Alga27+2656
3Muras United26+2953
4Asia Talas26+2052
5Ozgon25+2251
6Alay27041
7Neftchi27−636
8Talant26+733
9Bishkek City26033
10Toktogul26−1031
11Dordoi Bishkek26029
12Ilbirs25−1428
13OshMU Aldier26−1528
14Asiagoal26−1521
15Abdish-Ata26−3015
16Kara-Balta26−509

The competition's standings before kick-off.