Muras United v Talant

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Muras United win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Muras United was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–24–20
3. 1′KICK-OFF Muras United v Talant
4. 11′A goal for Muras United on 10′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 80–14–6
5. 11′⚽ GOAL · 10' Muras United 1–0 Talant
6. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
7. 12′We published Muras United at 56%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–14–6
8. 26′A red card for Muras United on 26′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 80–14–5
9. 26′🟥 RED CARD · 26' Muras United
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 80–15–5
11. 45′HALF-TIME Muras United 1–0 Talant
12. 46′SECOND HALF Muras United 1–0 Talant
13. 57′Talant score on 56′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 37–46–17
14. 57′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 37%. 1–1 · 37–46–17
15. 57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Muras United 1–1 Talant
16. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 37% now
17. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Muras United win 37%)
18. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
19. 61′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–50–16
20. 68′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–57–14
21. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
22. 73′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–12
23. 78′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–72–9
24. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
25. 82′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–80–7
26. 86′We said Muras United at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–87–5
27. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
28. 91′Muras United find the net on 90′. 2–1. 2–1 · 98–2–0
29. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Muras United 2–1 Talant
30. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Muras United win: 56% at kick-off, 98% now
31. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Muras United win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
32. 92′We published Muras United at 56%. Our model now makes it 98%. 2–1 · 98–2–0
33. 92′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 98–2–0
34. FTFULL TIME Muras United 2–1 Talant
35. FTMuras United 2–1 Talant · Muras United win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.