Bars v Dordoi Bishkek

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bars win at 56%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bars 56% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–23
3. 1′KICK-OFF Bars v Dordoi Bishkek
4. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
5. 45′HALF-TIME Bars 0–0 Dordoi Bishkek
6. 46′SECOND HALF Bars 0–0 Dordoi Bishkek
7. 49′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–34–22
8. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 41–38–21
9. 59′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
10. 61′Bars find the net on 61′. 1–0. 1–0 · 80–16–4
11. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Bars 1–0 Dordoi Bishkek
12. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 80% now
13. 62′We said Bars at 56% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
14. 68′A goal for Dordoi Bishkek on 68′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–50–18
15. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Bars 1–1 Dordoi Bishkek
16. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 33% now
17. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Bars win 33%)
18. 69′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 32%. 1–1 · 32–51–17
19. 72′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–55–16
20. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
21. 77′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–63–13
22. 80′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
23. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
24. 83′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–77–8
25. 88′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
26. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
27. 93′We said Bars at 56%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
28. 97′Bars score on 90′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 99–1–0
29. 97′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Bars 2–1 Dordoi Bishkek
30. 97′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+7' Bars win: 56% at kick-off, 99% now
31. 97′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+7' Bars win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
32. FTFULL TIME Bars 2–1 Dordoi Bishkek
33. FTBars 2–1 Dordoi Bishkek · Bars win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.