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Asia Talas v Toktogul

Asia Talas
2–0Full time
Toktogul

Premier League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 16:34
Asia Talas 2–0 Toktogul ASIA TALAS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Asia Talas win58%
The market said61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.261
The market’s Brier score0.235

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Asia Talas win58%
Draw21%
Toktogul win21%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 14:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asia talas winPublished 9 Oct 14:02
58% The market61%
Us58%
Market61%

We make Asia Talas a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 61%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:199 OCT 11:08
Our probability · asia talas win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 53% to 61% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Asia Talas win58%61%−2
Draw21%22%−2
Toktogul win21%17%+4
Over 2.5 goals67%56%+10
Both teams to score63%56%+7
Over 1.5 goals86%78%+8
Over 3.5 goals46%36%+9
Asia Talas or draw79%83%−4
Asia Talas clean sheet29%––
Toktogul clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%
0123450 3.8 3.6 2.5 1 6.5 9.0 5.4 2.3 2 7.6 9.2 5.8 2.5 3 5.6 6.8 4.2 4 3.1 3.8 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Asia Talas down, Toktogul across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsTOK 1–2 ASI

Form · last six in Premier League

ASIA TALAS

DDWLWW1–1 · 1–1 · 4–2 · 1–2 · 4–0 · 3–2

TOKTOGUL

WWWWDD3–2 · 1–0 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Alga24+1949
2Bars23+2946
3Muras United22+2746
4Asia Talas24+1746
5Ozgon22+2245
6Alay24+139
7Talant24+430
8Dordoi Bishkek23+429
9Neftchi24−929
10Ilbirs23−528
11OshMU Aldier24−828
12Toktogul23−928
13Bishkek City24−727
14Asiagoal25−1421
15Abdish-Ata23−2714
16Kara-Balta24−449

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.