Kazma v Al Sulaibikhat

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kazma win at 60%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kazma was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–23–17
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kazma v Al Sulaibikhat
4. 27′Al Sulaibikhat score on 26′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 27–26–47
5. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Kazma 0–1 Al Sulaibikhat
6. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Kazma win: 60% at kick-off, 27% now
7. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Al Sulaibikhat win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Kazma win 54%)
8. 28′We said Kazma at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–27–47
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 26–27–48
10. 33′We said Kazma at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–27–49
11. 40′Kazma find the net on 40′. 1–1. 1–1 · 49–34–17
12. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Kazma 1–1 Al Sulaibikhat
13. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Kazma win: 60% at kick-off, 49% now
14. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Kazma win is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Al Sulaibikhat win 51%)
15. 41′We said Kazma at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–34–17
16. 45′HALF-TIME Kazma 1–1 Al Sulaibikhat
17. 46′SECOND HALF Kazma 1–1 Al Sulaibikhat
18. 51′We said Kazma at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–40–17
19. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Kazma win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
20. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Kazma win 42%)
21. 59′We said Kazma at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–46–15
22. 65′We said Kazma at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–51–14
23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Kazma win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
24. 76′A goal for Kazma on 76′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 90–9–1
25. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Kazma 2–1 Al Sulaibikhat
26. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Kazma win: 60% at kick-off, 90% now
27. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Kazma win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 65%)
28. 77′We published Kazma at 60%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
29. 77′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 90–9–1
30. 84′We published Kazma at 60%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
31. FTFULL TIME Kazma 2–1 Al Sulaibikhat
32. FTKazma 2–1 Al Sulaibikhat · Kazma win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.