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Kazma v Al Arabi
Premier League · FRI 9 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Arabi win at 43%.
- 27′Kazma find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 61–24–15
- 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Al Arabi win: 43% at kick-off, 15% now
- 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Kazma win is now our likeliest result at 61% (was Al Arabi win 15%)
- 39′We said Al Arabi at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 64–25–12
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Al Arabi win: 43% at kick-off, 12% now
- 43′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 65–24–11
- 45′SECOND HALF Kazma 1–0 Al Arabi
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 20' Kazma 1–0 Al Arabi
- 83′⚽ GOAL · 85' Kazma 1–0 Al Arabi
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Kazma 1–1 Al Arabi
- FTFULL TIME Kazma 1–1 Al Arabi
- FTKazma 1–1 Al Arabi · Al Arabi win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 18:05
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Arabi a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.4.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 41% to 37% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kazma win | 28% | 36% | −7 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | +1 |
| Al Arabi win | 43% | 37% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 53% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 58% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 75% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 33% | −10 |
| Kazma or draw | 57% | 63% | −6 |
| Kazma clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Al Arabi clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
13 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Premier League
KAZMA
AL ARABI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kazma | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 | Al Kuwait | 3 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Al Qadsia | 3 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 | Al Salmiyah | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Nasar | 3 | −1 | 6 |
| 6 | Al Shabab | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Sahel | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Fahaheel | 3 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Jahra | 3 | −1 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 3 | −1 | 2 |
| 11 | Al Sulaibikhat | 3 | −1 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Tadhamon | 3 | −7 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.