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Al Tadhamon v Al Qadsia

Al Tadhamon
0–2Full time
Al Qadsia

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Al Tadhamon 0–2 Al Qadsia AL QADSIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Qadsia win61%
The market said72%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.234
The market’s Brier score0.120

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Qadsia win at 61%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Al Tadhamon v Al Qadsia
  3. 4′Little has changed for our model: Al Qadsia 61% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 17–22–61
  4. 18′⚽ GOAL · 19' Al Tadhamon 0–0 Al Qadsia
  5. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Al Tadhamon 0–1 Al Qadsia
  6. 24′19′ and it is 0–1: Al Qadsia have scored. 0–1 · 5–13–83
  7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Al Qadsia win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
  8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Al Qadsia win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Al Tadhamon 0–1 Al Qadsia
  10. 45′SECOND HALF Al Tadhamon 0–1 Al Qadsia
  11. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Al Qadsia win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
  12. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Al Qadsia win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
  13. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Al Qadsia win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
  14. 67′🟥 RED CARD · 67' Al Qadsia
  15. 81′⚽ GOAL · 83' Al Tadhamon 0–1 Al Qadsia
  16. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Al Tadhamon 0–2 Al Qadsia
  17. FTFULL TIME Al Tadhamon 0–2 Al Qadsia
  18. FTAl Tadhamon 0–2 Al Qadsia · Al Qadsia win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Al Tadhamon win16%
Draw23%
Al Qadsia win61%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:50

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al qadsia winPublished 10 Oct 15:43
61% The market72%
Us61%
Market72%

We make Al Qadsia a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 72%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.0.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70%75% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 03:57
Our probability · al qadsia win The market, margin stripped

Published at 60%, 61% now. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Tadhamon win16%10%+6
Draw23%18%+5
Al Qadsia win61%72%−11
Over 2.5 goals55%57%−2
Both teams to score52%46%+7
Over 1.5 goals79%78%+1
Over 3.5 goals34%37%−4
Al Tadhamon or draw39%28%+11
Al Tadhamon clean sheet14%––
Al Qadsia clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 6.6 9.9 10.5 7.0 3.6 1 4.2 10.8 9.6 6.3 3.2 2 2.4 4.6 4.5 2.9 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Tadhamon down, Al Qadsia across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.78
Over 2.58 of 9
Both scored5 of 9
Last meetingsALT 0–1 ALQ · ALQ 3–0 ALT · ALT 1–5 ALQ · ALT 0–3 ALQ

Form · last six in Premier League

AL TADHAMON

WDLLLL1–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 1–4

AL QADSIA

LWDWLW1–2 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Kuwait4+810
2Kazma4+38
3Al Qadsia3+36
4Al Salmiyah3+26
5Al Nasar4−76
6Al Shabab304
7Al Sahel304
8Al Fahaheel3+13
9Al Arabi4−13
10Al Jahra3−13
11Al Sulaibikhat3−12
12Al Tadhamon3−70

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.