Al Sulaibikhat v Al Salmiyah prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al SulaibikhatDrawAl Salmiyah

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:45

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Salmiyah 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Salmiyah are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Sulaibikhat 23%, draw 25%, Al Salmiyah 52%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Al Sulaibikhat v Al SalmiyahBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Al Sulaibikhat win23%

Draw25%

Al Salmiyah win52%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:45

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Sulaibikhat

Al Salmiyah

8Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Kuwait)

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier League (Kuwait)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Al Salmiyah	5	+1	9
11	Al Sulaibikhat	6	−9	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al salmiyah winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Al Salmiyah a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Sulaibikhat v Al Salmiyah~~1.09 – 1.78

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 26 Aug~~W0 D3 L3 · W3 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 3 v 9~~11 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Sulaibikhat win	23%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Al Salmiyah win	52%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Al Sulaibikhat or draw	48%	–	–
Al Sulaibikhat clean sheet	18%	–	–
Al Salmiyah clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%

0123450 7.0 9.2 8.8 5.3 2.5 1 5.4 11.7 9.3 5.5 2.5 2 3.5 5.9 5.1 3.0 3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Sulaibikhat down, Al Salmiyah across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 608 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.2% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Sulaibikhat at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Al Salmiyah away: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.09 goals for Al Sulaibikhat, 1.78 for Al Salmiyah. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SAL 2–1 SUL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 26 Aug

AL SULAIBIKHAT

LDDDLL0–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 0–7 · 1–2

AL SALMIYAH

LWWLW1–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Kuwait	6	+19	16
2	Kazma	6	+5	14
3	Al Nasar	6	−3	12
4	Al Fahaheel	5	+7	9
5	Al Qadsia	4	+5	9
6	Al Salmiyah	5	+1	9
7	Al Shabab	5	0	7
8	Al Jahra	6	−3	4
9	Al Sahel	5	−7	4
10	Al Arabi	4	−1	3
11	Al Sulaibikhat	6	−9	3
12	Al Tadhamon	6	−14	0