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Model 1.1

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Al Sulaibikhat v Al Jahra

Al Sulaibikhat
1–1Full time
Al Jahra

Premier League · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Al Sulaibikhat 1–1 Al Jahra AL SULAIBIKHAT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Al Sulaibikhat win50%
The market said40%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.858
The market’s Brier score0.782

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 3 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Sulaibikhat win at 50%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Sulaibikhat 50% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
  3. 4′2′ and it is 0–1: Al Jahra have scored. 0–1 · 27–24–49
  4. 26′7′ and it is 1–0: Al Sulaibikhat have scored. 1–0 · 76–17–8 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  5. 35′7′ and it is 1–0: Al Sulaibikhat have scored. 1–0 · 76–17–7 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  6. 45′We said Al Sulaibikhat at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–17–5 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  7. 57′Al Jahra find the net on 55′. 1–1. 1–1 · 35–45–20
  8. 78′We said Al Sulaibikhat at 50%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–71–11
  9. 89′Al Jahra find the net on 55′. 1–1. 1–1 · 2–97–1
  10. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Al Sulaibikhat win: 50% at kick-off, 2% now
  11. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Al Sulaibikhat win: 50% at kick-off, 18% now
  12. FTFULL TIME Al Sulaibikhat 1–1 Al Jahra
  13. FTAl Sulaibikhat 1–1 Al Jahra · Al Sulaibikhat win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Al Sulaibikhat win50%
Draw26%
Al Jahra win24%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 18:05

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Al Sulaibikhat

Al Jahra

37Days since last match36
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Al Jahra3−13
11Al Sulaibikhat3−12

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al sulaibikhat winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
50% The market40%
Us50%
Market40%

We make Al Sulaibikhat a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:1911 OCT 15:36
Our probability · al sulaibikhat win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 50% now. The market has gone from 45% to 40% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Sulaibikhat win50%40%+10
Draw26%28%−2
Al Jahra win24%32%−8
Over 2.5 goals53%48%+5
Both teams to score55%53%+2
Over 1.5 goals78%72%+6
Over 3.5 goals32%28%+4
Al Sulaibikhat or draw76%68%+8
Al Sulaibikhat clean sheet33%––
Al Jahra clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 7.4 5.7 3.8 1 9.1 12.0 6.1 2.4 2 8.6 9.2 5.1 3 4.9 5.3 3.0 4 2.2 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Sulaibikhat down, Al Jahra across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Premier League

AL SULAIBIKHAT

LDD0–1 · 1–1 · 3–3

AL JAHRA

LWDLWL0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Kuwait4+810
2Al Qadsia4+59
3Kazma4+38
4Al Shabab4+27
5Al Salmiyah406
6Al Nasar4−76
7Al Sahel304
8Al Fahaheel3+13
9Al Arabi4−13
10Al Jahra3−13
11Al Sulaibikhat3−12
12Al Tadhamon4−90

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.