Al Sahel v Al Nasar

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Sahel win at 36%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Sahel 36% before kick-off, 36% now. 0–0 · 36–28–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Sahel v Al Nasar
4. 28′A goal for Al Nasar on 28′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–21–67
5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Al Sahel 0–1 Al Nasar
6. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Al Sahel win: 36% at kick-off, 12% now
7. 28′THE CALL SWINGS · 28' Al Nasar win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Al Sahel win 34%)
8. 29′We said Al Sahel at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 12%. 0–1 · 12–21–67
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 12–21–67
10. 37′🟥 RED CARD · 37' Al Sahel
11. 38′Al Sahel are down to ten from 37′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 10–21–68
12. 42′We said Al Sahel at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–21–69
13. 43′Al Nasar score on 43′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
14. 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Al Sahel 0–2 Al Nasar
15. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Al Sahel win: 36% at kick-off, 2% now
16. 44′We said Al Sahel at 36%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
17. 45′HALF-TIME Al Sahel 0–2 Al Nasar
18. 46′SECOND HALF Al Sahel 0–2 Al Nasar
19. 86′Al Nasar find the net on 85′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
20. 86′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
21. 86′⚽ GOAL · 85' Al Sahel 0–3 Al Nasar
22. FTFULL TIME Al Sahel 0–3 Al Nasar
23. FTAl Sahel 0–3 Al Nasar · Al Sahel win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.