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Al Jahra v Kazma
Al JahraKazmaPremier League · MON 19 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kazma win at 53%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kazma 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 20–27–53
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Jahra v Kazma
- 20′We said Kazma at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 6–14–80
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Al Jahra 0–1 Kazma
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Kazma win: 53% at kick-off, 80% now
- 21′Kazma find the net on 20′. 0–1. 0–1 · 6–14–80
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 5–15–80
- 45′SECOND HALF Al Jahra 0–1 Kazma
- 48′HALF-TIME Al Jahra 0–1 Kazma
- 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Kazma win: 53% at kick-off, 83% now
- 64′We said Kazma at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 76′We said Kazma at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Kazma win: 53% at kick-off, 93% now
- 84′We said Kazma at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
- 96′0–1 at the end. Our 53% on Kazma comes in. 0–1 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Al Jahra 0–1 Kazma
- FTAl Jahra 0–1 Kazma · Kazma win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kazma are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Jahra 20%, draw 27%, Kazma 53%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Al Jahra win20%Kazma win53%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 17:55
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Al JahraMINKazmaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Jahra
Kazma
Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Kuwait)
Last match: 14 Oct · AGCFF Gulf Champions League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kazma | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Jahra | 4 | −1 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kazma a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 15 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Jahra win | 20% | 12% | +8 |
| Draw | 27% | 20% | +7 |
| Kazma win | 53% | 68% | −15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 55% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 46% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 77% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 35% | −10 |
| Al Jahra or draw | 47% | 32% | +15 |
| Al Jahra clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
| Kazma clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 26 Aug
AL JAHRA
KAZMA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Kuwait | 4 | +8 | 10 |
| 2 |  Al Fahaheel | 5 | +7 | 9 |
| 3 |  Al Qadsia | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 4 |  Al Nasar | 5 | −6 | 9 |
| 5 | Kazma | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 6 |  Al Shabab | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Al Salmiyah | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Al Jahra | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al Sahel | 4 | −4 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al Arabi | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 11 |  Al Sulaibikhat | 4 | −1 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Tadhamon | 5 | −10 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.