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Vushtrria v Gjilani
Superliga · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Gjilani win at 59%.
- 2′KICK-OFF Vushtrria v Gjilani
- 3′Much as we predicted: Gjilani was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 18–23–59
- 44′We said Gjilani at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 18–36–47
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Gjilani win: 59% at kick-off, 47% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Vushtrria 0–0 Gjilani
- 49′SECOND HALF Vushtrria 0–0 Gjilani
- 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Vushtrria 1–0 Gjilani
- 66′U. Statovci scores for Vushtrria on 60′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 67–25–7
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Gjilani win: 59% at kick-off, 7% now
- 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Vushtrria win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Gjilani win 7%)
- 84′⚽ GOAL · 60' Vushtrria 1–0 Gjilani · U. Statovci
- 87′We said Gjilani at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 0%. 1–0 · 94–6–0
- FTFULL TIME Vushtrria 1–0 Gjilani
- FTVushtrria 1–0 Gjilani · Gjilani win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 13:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Gjilani a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.9.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 70% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vushtrria win | 19% | 11% | +8 |
| Draw | 22% | 19% | +3 |
| Gjilani win | 59% | 70% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 55% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 44% | +7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 76% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 34% | −3 |
| Vushtrria or draw | 41% | 30% | +11 |
| Vushtrria clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
| Gjilani clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Superliga
VUSHTRRIA
GJILANI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malisheva | 8 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 |  Prishtina | 6 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Ballkani | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 4 |  Dukagjini | 7 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | Gjilani | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 |  Drita | 7 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Drenica Skënderaj | 7 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Feronikeli | 7 | −8 | 6 |
| 9 |  Llapi | 8 | −14 | 3 |
| 10 | Vushtrria | 7 | −17 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.