Prishtina v Drita prediction · Superliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PrishtinaDrawDrita

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Drita 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Drita just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Prishtina 35%, draw 29%, Drita 36%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Prishtina v DritaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

Prishtina win35%

Draw29%

Drita win36%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Prishtina

Drita

6Days since last match8

Last match: 19 Oct · Superliga (Kosovo)

Last match: 17 Oct · Superliga (Kosovo)

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Prishtina	9	+15	23
4	Drita	9	+4	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · drita winFirst published 21 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Drita a 36% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Prishtina v Drita~~1.10 – 1.11

~~Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 8 Sept~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 23 v 17~~2 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Prishtina win	35%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Drita win	36%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Prishtina or draw	64%	–	–
Prishtina clean sheet	33%	–	–
Drita clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 11.3 12.0 6.8 2.5 1 11.8 13.4 7.3 2.7 2 6.6 7.3 4.0 3 2.5 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Prishtina down, Drita across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 955 Superliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Superliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.0% of games this season, across 50 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Prishtina at home: 2.17 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Drita away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.10 goals for Prishtina, 1.11 for Drita. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DRI 1–0 PRI · PRI 1–1 DRI · DRI 2–0 PRI · PRI 2–2 DRI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 8 Sept

PRISHTINA

WWWDDW4–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–0

DRITA

LDWLWW0–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Malisheva	10	+15	23
2	Prishtina	9	+15	23
3	Gjilani	11	+5	18
4	Drita	9	+4	17
5	Dukagjini	10	+4	17
6	Ballkani	10	0	13
7	Drenica Skënderaj	10	−1	11
8	Feronikeli	10	−9	8
9	Llapi	11	−15	5
10	Vushtrria	10	−18	3