Malisheva v Prishtina
MalishevaPrishtinaSuperliga · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Malisheva win at 46%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Malisheva v Prishtina
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Malisheva 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–29
- 29′Malisheva score on 29′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 73–18–9
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Malisheva 1–0 Prishtina
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Malisheva win: 46% at kick-off, 73% now
- 30′We said Malisheva at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 1–0 · 73–19–9
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 73–19–9
- 44′We said Malisheva at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Malisheva 1–0 Prishtina
- 46′SECOND HALF Malisheva 1–0 Prishtina
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Malisheva win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
- 63′We said Malisheva at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
- 74′We said Malisheva at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Malisheva win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
- 76′Prishtina find the net on 76′. 1–1. 1–1 · 19–68–14
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Malisheva 1–1 Prishtina
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Malisheva win: 46% at kick-off, 19% now
- 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Draw is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Malisheva win 19%)
- 77′We said Malisheva at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–69–13
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Malisheva win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 80′We said Malisheva at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–75–11
- 84′We said Malisheva at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Malisheva win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Malisheva at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
- FTFULL TIME Malisheva 1–1 Prishtina
- FTMalisheva 1–1 Prishtina · Malisheva win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMalisheva are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Malisheva 46%, draw 25%, Prishtina 29%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Malisheva win46%Prishtina win29%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 9
Match timeline
All events
MalishevaMINPrishtinaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Malisheva
Prishtina
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malisheva | 8 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | Prishtina | 7 | +14 | 19 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Malisheva a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malisheva win | 46% | 47% | −1 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Prishtina win | 29% | 25% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 46% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 50% | +6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 69% | +8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 25% | +6 |
| Malisheva or draw | 71% | 75% | −3 |
| Malisheva clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Prishtina clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Superliga this season · since 29 Aug
MALISHEVA
PRISHTINA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malisheva | 8 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | Prishtina | 7 | +14 | 19 |
| 3 |  Dukagjini | 9 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |  Gjilani | 9 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Drita | 8 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Ballkani | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Drenica Skënderaj | 9 | −1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Feronikeli | 9 | −8 | 8 |
| 9 |  Llapi | 9 | −14 | 4 |
| 10 |  Vushtrria | 9 | −17 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.