Gjilani v Llapi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gjilani win at 48%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gjilani was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gjilani v Llapi
4. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Gjilani win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
5. 45′SECOND HALF Gjilani 0–0 Llapi
6. 48′We said Gjilani at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–41–23
7. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Gjilani win 38%)
8. 53′We said Gjilani at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
9. 53′HALF-TIME Gjilani 0–0 Llapi
10. 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–46–21
11. 63′We said Gjilani at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–53–19
12. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Gjilani win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
13. 69′We published Gjilani at 48%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
14. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Gjilani 1–0 Llapi
15. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Gjilani win: 48% at kick-off, 84% now
16. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Gjilani win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 59%)
17. 70′A goal for Gjilani on 70′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 84–14–2
18. 71′We published Gjilani at 48%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
19. 76′G. Limani scores for Gjilani on 69′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 88–11–1
20. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Gjilani win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
21. 79′We published Gjilani at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
22. 86′We published Gjilani at 48%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
23. 86′We said Gjilani at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–87–5
24. 86′⚽ GOAL · 86' Gjilani 1–1 Llapi
25. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Gjilani win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
26. 86′THE CALL SWINGS · 86' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Gjilani win 95%)
27. 87′Llapi score on 87′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 7–88–5
28. 91′We said Gjilani at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–3
29. 92′88′: A. Aliu on the scoresheet for Llapi, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 3–94–2
30. 94′Full time, 1–1. We called Gjilani at 48% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
31. FTFULL TIME Gjilani 1–1 Llapi
32. FTGjilani 1–1 Llapi · Gjilani win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.