Gjilani v Feronikeli

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gjilani win at 63%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gjilani was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 62% now. 0–0 · 62–22–15
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gjilani v Feronikeli
4. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 53% now
5. 37′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 51%. 0–0 · 51–33–16
6. 42′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–36–15
7. 45′HALF-TIME Gjilani 0–0 Feronikeli
8. 45′SECOND HALF Gjilani 0–0 Feronikeli
9. 51′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–41–15
10. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 43% now
11. 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–44–14
12. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Gjilani win 41%)
13. 59′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–47–14
14. 65′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–53–12
15. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 33% now
16. 71′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–61–11
17. 75′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–67–9
18. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 23% now
19. 79′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–74–7
20. 80′🟥 RED CARD · 80' Feronikeli
21. 82′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–80–6
22. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 13% now
23. 86′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–4
24. 92′We said Gjilani at 63%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
25. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 3% now
26. 98′We published Gjilani at 63%. Our model now makes it 99%. 1–0 · 99–1–0
27. 98′⚽ GOAL · 90+8' Gjilani 1–0 Feronikeli
28. 98′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+8' Gjilani win: 63% at kick-off, 99% now
29. 98′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+8' Gjilani win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
30. 99′Full time, 1–0. We called Gjilani at 63% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
31. FTFULL TIME Gjilani 1–0 Feronikeli
32. FTGjilani 1–0 Feronikeli · Gjilani win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.