Feronikeli v Llapi
FeronikeliLlapiSuperliga · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Llapi win at 46%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Llapi 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 28–26–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Feronikeli v Llapi
- 9′Llapi find the net on 9′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–18–72
- 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Feronikeli 0–1 Llapi
- 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Llapi win: 46% at kick-off, 72% now
- 11′We said Llapi at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 10–18–72
- 13′GOAL DISALLOWED · 13' Llapi
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Llapi win: 46% at kick-off, 44% now
- 37′Feronikeli are down to ten from 36′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 26–36–39
- 37′🟥 RED CARD · 36' Feronikeli
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Llapi win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Feronikeli 0–0 Llapi
- 45′🟥 RED CARD · 36' Feronikeli
- 46′SECOND HALF Feronikeli 0–0 Llapi
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Llapi win 35%)
- 50′We said Llapi at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 23–42–34
- 57′Goalless on 57′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 22–47–31
- 61′We said Llapi at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 20–51–29
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Llapi win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 69′We said Llapi at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 17–59–24
- 75′We said Llapi at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 14–67–19
- 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Llapi win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 80′We said Llapi at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
- 84′We said Llapi at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Llapi win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- FTFULL TIME Feronikeli 0–0 Llapi
- FTFeronikeli 0–0 Llapi · Llapi win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off
Feronikeli win28%Llapi win46%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 13:00
Match timeline
All events
FeronikeliMINLlapiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Feronikeli
Llapi
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Feronikeli | 8 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Llapi | 8 | -14 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Llapi a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 16 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feronikeli win | 28% | 43% | −15 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | −2 |
| Llapi win | 46% | 30% | +16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 50% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 54% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Feronikeli or draw | 54% | 70% | −16 |
| Feronikeli clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Llapi clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Superliga
FERONIKELI
LLAPI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malisheva | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 2 |  Prishtina | 7 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 |  Gjilani | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 |  Drita | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 |  Dukagjini | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Ballkani | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Drenica Skënderaj | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Feronikeli | 8 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 | Llapi | 8 | -14 | 3 |
| 10 |  Vushtrria | 8 | -16 | 3 |
The competition's standings.